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Buddy1987

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  1. Buddy1987
    Impressive in that Hickory goes from 35 to 31 and Charlotte from 40 to 34. Believe the trend is still materializing and we haven’t yet reached the final outcome.
  2. Buddy1987
    One thing I really love to see, unlike other storms where we’ve been completely borderline going into, is temp has dropped to 27 and dew is down to 16 here. Great indicator for the upcoming system.
  3. Buddy1987
    700 and 925 continue to cool however, which is a good sign and toward the right direction anyway.
  4. Buddy1987
    Boy if this comes to fruition even half of it I feel for people to my south. This again will be one hell of a sleet storm up this way if it pans out. Blacksburg had a good forecast discussion where it talks about fzra being able to accrue radially. So in theory if you got 1” you could only accrue 40% of that on the limbs etc.. would still be lights out but def concerning reading something like that. When I was younger we had a storm deliver .75” of fzra to our house in CT and were without power for over a week. Post storm was 50-60 mph winds. Thank god my father had a generator and a wood stove.
  5. Buddy1987
    I’ve had it at 12 in Connecticut. It was unbelievable what happened. Like a nuclear bomb exploded in the back woods.
  6. Buddy1987
    Gfs just did a bunch of us a non favor. Lot of fzra instead of sleet that run.
  7. Buddy1987
    I also believe this was issued prior to a majority of the 6z model guidance infused into the graphic out of Blacksburg.
  8. Buddy1987
    I think that’s a pretty broad stroke of the paint brush. Areas north of the NC/VA border if it does primarily end up being fzra over sleet could have a crippling lights out type event.
  9. Buddy1987
    Some of those sleet rates up this way are still incredible. I couldn’t imagine having like 3” of sleet on the ground. Would be nutso.
  10. Buddy1987
    @Jonathan @jjwxman what are you guys thinking? You both have been on the board for a good amount of time.
  11. Buddy1987
    GFS def the warmest model after looking at 2m’s from 54-66 but that is to be expected IMO anyhow.
  12. Buddy1987
    Other trend has been to not lack in the qpf dept regardless of which model you prefer!
  13. Buddy1987
    Regarding Icon 2m and precip panels wrap up the significance of this in a couple shots. It’s like Zeus’ bolt pointing right at the forum.
  14. Buddy1987
    Boy I can’t help but think when looking more specifically at the 3k Nam a Bruce Willis Armageddon scene out this way with huge chunks of asteroid type hail balls falling from the sky looking at soundings and then 850s/2m’s. The sleet would be epic out this way.
  15. Buddy1987
    Last 5 frames on 5h have def trended south because of the confluence and then the LP/SW north of Michigan/western Canada.
  16. Buddy1987
    Nam def trended more suppressive at 42 on 0z and much more in line with globals thus far. HP about 1mb weaker from 1034 to 1033. Another thing to watch.
  17. Buddy1987
    Yea they are very in depth and not as easy to maneuver as globals etc..
  18. Buddy1987
    I’m surprised no one referenced the SREF yet LOL
  19. Buddy1987
    It’s been oddly dry here as of late and then corrects itself 18-24 before kickoff or at least trends toward globals qpf output.
  20. Buddy1987
    Nam looks to have a little better of a push of cold air at 45-48 as well as suppression looking a tad better if you want wintry weather in general
  21. Buddy1987
    Raging sleet storm look on 12z RGEM VA/NC border north.
  22. Buddy1987
    I’m still wondering how legit the Icon’s thermals are? If it has something similar to RGEM that is major cause for concern.
  23. Buddy1987
    This is getting to be a very big concern for sure. After last storm where we had at the minimum a good 1/3” of ice this one looks to potentially top it. The high on a lot of the globals is in a pristine position for funneling purposes. Tap of the keg right out of the St Lawrence Valley.
  24. Buddy1987
    Anyone have 12z Euro for late week storm?
  25. Buddy1987
    Big ice storm on CMC. Nasty signal showing up for sure. GFS under doing cad IMO somewhat considering position snd strength for our geography.
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