Buddy1987
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Everything posted by Buddy1987
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It finally flipped to predominantly snow but it still doesn’t want to get its act together just yet. I’m by the S in Salem banked up against a mountain. Got about 1300ft of elevation over here. Seeing that ridiculous band over by Nashville makes me feel better and the fact of what you alluded to with the radar more or less congealing to my southwest. I just hope the temps cooperate up your way and to my north. Probably wasted .15-.20 qpf already. Temp all the way down to 34.3 from 39.9 just a couple hours ago.
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Super disappointing up this way. Pretty much all rain. Temp went from 39 to 35 but radar is lightening up and will really need 2nd batch to over perform. Hopefully the frontogenesis that has been talked about will come to fruition. No longer having good feelings about this. Crazy to me because to my south and west it really over achieved. Sat under heavy yellows for easily 30 min plus and couldn’t flip.
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Boy that first band was ultra disappointing. Was under bright yellows for easily over 30 minutes and I still have predominantly rain. Makes zero sense with all kinds of sleet and snow reports to my south and west. I hope that’s not a bad omen for peeps further north. Temp went from 39 to 35 however since that band came through. Really am going to need radar to fill in or the backend to over perform.
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Yea that band is def the divider. I’m assuming that will flip us here shortly as well. About 20-25 min from Radford. Lost 2 degrees on the temp. Down to 37
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Just up the road from you in Salem. Was wondering how that band was going to perform as it traversed 81. Hoping we flip soon
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39/32 precip just started down in ROA. Predominantly rain with some mangled flakes mixed in. Radar off to my southwest looks juicy. Awaiting better rates.
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Precip just started. Predominantly rain with some mangled flakes in there. 39/32
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Been hovering around 38 here as well with dew of 27. We will see at least out my way with how the trajectory plays out or if precip blossoms more once the low gets crankin off the nc coast.
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@BornAgain13 NAM nests are beat downs again up here. Run after run now. Will it be right?
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LOTS of reports in the south of precip quickly flipping over to shreds of paper, even with marginal temps. Upstairs is def cold!
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Anyone have obs in Kannapolis/Hickory/Greensboro? Heavier echoes traversing through there.
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42.8/25 now. Bottom is starting to fall out last 30 minutes.
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I’ve been watching that closely. That’s been modeled on almost every piece of guidance.
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County cop deputy for Botetourt for 6. Got out in 2018. Here’s to some snow!
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44.8/24.3 currently. Missed forecast high by 3 degrees today. Could see the cloud/clear sky line about 10 miles off to my southwest. Thick canopy made a difference.
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Hey good to know man. You paid I’m assuming or volunteer?
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Boy it sure is nice to have you back around. I feel like sometimes a lot of us northwestern forum guys can’t relate to anyone. It’s like you’re in the central Bahamas and I’m in upstate NY lolllll
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@Blue_Ridge_Escarpment @BornAgain13 how do you guys feel about the trajectory of the precip shield on national radar? Does it fill in more as the storm gets going somewhat?
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Honestly idk anymore lol. Good to see reports of @oconeexman having pingers. Upstairs is cold.
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Yea I think people just feel burned recently and are naturally pessimistic by it. Runs look good for that area.
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I would say you will have 2-4” for sure on ground by tomorrow.
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18z 3k/12k another stone cold assassin. Been very steady for multiple runs now.
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I would say between now and 12 hours before precip start is when HRRR becomes more accurate if it ever does at any point and I think you know this but would begin to get more believable just being in range.
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Kinda obv the models are going to struggle mightily with middle to end of next week storm. CMC has a 1041 in a damn good spot yet it looks like frozen may line up even to my north northwest. High in that position there’s no way. Beyond this one looks like a headache of a storm to track waiting to happen. Regardless it’s lights out for somebody on the wintry side. That is a mega death band of precip just getting pumped from the gulf. Ice ice baby!
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Not gonna lie even up this way a little concerned. 43/21 and I would obv assume the dew would continue to moisten up. Have seen this play out before too where I go to bed wake up and it’s 36-37 outside with the grass covered. It’s gonna really have to come down.
