Buddy1987

moot point by 126 tho.

at 114 much more of a neutral to negative tilt with the energy over MS compared to GFS at same time frame. Damn

Energy over New England is def displaced to the east compared to GFS as well. This could def get interesting.

Canadian east of the GFS so far at 12z hr 78. Lets see where it goes.

known bias for sure.

She's a beaut Clark

Burg you feel like slower may allow for more spacing to get the energy out of the way in the NE or not necessarily?

GFS looks to be backed a tick southwest hr 66 at 12z as well h5 wise.

Its like the previews at AMC before the main show. Hard not to watch.

I will once TT decides to speed up unless someone else feels like.

In all reality going all in on the ICON is not advisable per ILMROSS' amazing explanation (LOL) however what im looking at specifically is evolution and also how it looks comparatively to globals upstairs. Major step in GFS direction. Energy at 108 is well west of 6z depiction. 6z had it north of ATL, 12z has it over NE MS.

huh? 99hrs it is well west of the 6z run

Eh nothing else to do might as well. Blue Ridge is right tho def trending toward GFS with the evolution.

Now that I look at the axis of it from 6z def more GFS like. Just the strength of the vort imo is whats going to determine what downstream looks like.

Then at 72 not nearly as sharp with the vort.

Man to be honest with you that is far out still, as we need to nail down the evolution and the timing of this system. Once we get to that point we can start to incorporate favorable jet dynamics and frontogenesis etc.. but long story short if it is going to undergo 11mb drop in 12 hrs, as depicted by the 6z GFS, then so long as it doesnt run too far inland the cold air can be aided by these factors on the west side of the storm. Looking forward to this talk as we get closer. Taken at face value the GFS is a little too wrapped up for my liking if you are a Carolina guy but then again the GFS has been the most aggressive so do not want to get way ahead of the game here.

Jan 2000 had a phasing of the northern/southern streams, so a n/s clipper was involved.

It’s like hybrid A/B at least on the depiction of the GFS, as it wants to transfer off SC coast which would then void the Miller A talk. Unique storm for sure.

Also 4mb stronger with that HP over Quebec at 1045. That’s a stout bad boy

Dang it sniped by buckeye haha

Longgggg range Nam at 72 actually has a more consolidated vort out west just entering eastern most Montana, comparatively to 6z GFS. Placement wise they are relatively very close to one another.

I get that from a fear standpoint to the public but I mean synoptically and upstairs very similar.

Eric Webb is putting good stuff out too. March 1980 is another good one. https://www.weather.gov/mhx/Mar011980EventReview

Anybody but Alabama! I think as of right now NE GA looks to be in for a shellacking. Time will tell my friend

Can anyone answer as to whether or not RAOB sites have improved for model data purposes out in sparse regions of Canada to help us with the vort inbound and timing purposes?