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wx2fish

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by wx2fish

  1. Wedge is ridiculous. Hitting like -10/-12C by Sunday PM. Would probably be one of those ripping sleet and generating flakes under the warm layer
  2. You really need some wind for big ice. Supplies lower dews from the NE to offset latent heating. It's why for big ice events we really need a meso low. In 08, ORH was gusting 20+
  3. Yeah doesn't really change the forecast. NAMs haven't havent had a whole lot, but have trended colder at the sfc since yesterday.
  4. Nams looked marginally better on the front end, esp 3k. Trending more wedged too which will probably prolong <32F, esp CNE.
  5. Not unless it's trends warmer. Even 6z euro keeps most of SNH wedged in the 30s, maybe hits 40 here near the border
  6. Yeah probably the bullseye that run. 925 is frigid in SNH. Prob alot of sleet after an initial dump
  7. Real cold run. Interior doesn't even sniff upper 20s. Hopefully see the euro cool off a bit
  8. GFS still pretty locked in. Not much change at 12z for the SNH crew
  9. Pumping out 0.75"+ for most of MA. Definitely would be some 10" lolis
  10. Pretty dry dgz on the hrrr soundings around dtw. Guessing that's the cause on the ptype maps
  11. Despite the anemic look elsewhere, 3km jacks him too. Definitely buy some good banding somewhere in NH with the mid level track
  12. Bit of a cold tuck pressing into NE MA now. Some of the areas the hit 32-33 may have a quick drop shortly
  13. Yeah basically done. Just some lingering freezing drizzle or light sleet. Low levels are gonna stay wedged for a while so probably some fzfg this evening in spots
  14. Just over 2" and a crust of freezing drizzle. Didnt melt any down, but definitely has a little meat to it.
  15. Plenty of good looks on the ensemble mean too, right through next weekend.
  16. Yeah here the deeper echoes are producing flakes, but outside of them it goes to crap
  17. You want the DGZ saturated with lift through that layer, so a thicker DGZ provides a much larger favorable window. Basically just increases the size of the target.
  18. Flirting with a pretty thick DGZ on the soundings. Northern side is probably high ratio fluff in this one
  19. Theres a salt haze over 93 anytime there's an inversion lately
  20. Ratios will probably be mediocre due to the warming layer aloft, but I doubt there will be much paste in CNE. More than likely a flip to sleet before hitting 32F
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