3k looks like a little bump north from 6z with the precip shield. What a hard call on the northside, esp MA/NH border and NE MA area. Nam and hrrr make it easier to discount the euro, were 6hr closer within 24hr now, but the stakes are high.
That data is a dynamic blend of globals and ensembles at that range. It gets a good deal of met attention in the shorter range, but its mostly automated that far out. The same data goes into the TWC app
Hopefully that weak system coming out of NY doesnt throw a wrench in sat afternoon temps. Euro is slower and really mixes things out, but the gfs and nam are quicker with the clouds/showers.
Yeah last year May,June, Aug were BN at MHT. We just furnaced the winter months. I'm hoping for AN with normal precip. We don't need a repeat of last year.
Down here Jan went +4 to +5 at CON/MHT and last year ran +8.9/+9.1. As warm as this Jan was its pretty amazing last Jan was almost 5F warmer across SNH. Ironically, both months above average for snow.
I've noticed MHT is running warm since last year, but it seems to mostly show up when it's saturated. This past event the airport got 6" and never went below 34F. Consistent with a +1.5/+2.0 bias on Gladstone.
They did well on the margins, but way too light in the banding/elevations. Some of those were giving AFN 2-3". Some kind of combo is probably the best. Maybe using them as the lower end of a forecast range.
There's a decent gradient around here. 2.5-4" in my yard, but I see 6-7" reports a few miles away in East Derry/Chester. Northern part of Windham probably has 1-2" more than me. 300-350' or so seems to make the difference too in these, I'm only at 250'.
Probably...I'm still sneaking into the banding, its ripping here...but the best is NW. Hopefully back builds south some. Might also fill in a bit from the south in a bit.