wx2fish
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Everything posted by wx2fish
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There's a decent gradient around here. 2.5-4" in my yard, but I see 6-7" reports a few miles away in East Derry/Chester. Northern part of Windham probably has 1-2" more than me. 300-350' or so seems to make the difference too in these, I'm only at 250'.
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3.3". Exit 3 north did better, especially with little elevation. My non slant sticking cousin said 6" in MHT.
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~1"... I'd imagine the elevated parts of Derry/Chester are doing pretty well, more in the center of the banding
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Probably...I'm still sneaking into the banding, its ripping here...but the best is NW. Hopefully back builds south some. Might also fill in a bit from the south in a bit.
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Maybe New Ispwish area? HRRR is probably overdone, but the 22z run goes wild with qpf in SNH this evening. Drops 3/4" around MHT
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Finally picking up a bit with the heavier echoes moving into NH. Coating on everything, but qpf in general has been anemic. 0.14" through the Davis
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It's almost like a coating of sleet here. Flakes have been really rimed. I think its largely meh here until 5-6pm, and then it's make or break if we're gonna grab a few inches.
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700mb dry slot never makes it north of route 2, but 500mb blows into CNE for a few hours. I think precip will regenerate north or route 2 into CNE, but the dgz is pretty high. Probably crappy sleety flakes until it resaturates this evening/overnight. It's why the HRRR ptype maps are showing sleet into NH later this afternoon. Warm layer aloft is gone on the soundings, but the dgz is drying out from above.
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Had some mix early, but over the wet snow now
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Nam going wild on qpf with the initial band
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For you and me, Im most concerned with getting good forcing and enough qpf. Soundings are good enough if we get decent lift, but if were scrapping out like 0.3" qpf over 12 hours like the 18z euro, it's not gonna cut it. I'm not far off your thoughts though around here, been thinking 3-6".
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We are definitely running above today, so I could see spots tickling it. I'll give you that. I live in Rockingham and hit 37 yesterday
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Outside of fake midnight highs, nobody in NH came close to 40 yesterday but PSM
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3hr qpf looks so weird. 3k looks more solid again
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And he's probably getting more than 6"
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3k looks good, pike north into SNH
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Euro is definitely more juiced than 06z on the low res graphics
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It was a Flop... February 2024 Disco. Thread
wx2fish replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Gonna be a weenie clown map worth hanging on the wall on that run -
Looks like the alot of the whites are flipping over now on CC
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Steady rains 34F. I remember when the euro had 55F to MHT today
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Had some clearing here earlier and radiated down quickly too. Bounced back up some now that it's clouded back up
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It was a Flop... February 2024 Disco. Thread
wx2fish replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Well if we can manage to grab a pack, the euro op would be a good way too keep it into Feb -
Yeah in theory those should be better. They can still be too heavily with light precip but there's alot more logic in there to reduce accretion rates
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That map may just be 1:1 ratio too. Not 100% sure. I wish the FRAM maps were more readily available
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Gfs is definitely warmer aloft than the nam/hrrr, but still cold at the surface. Pretty icy look for central NH maybe down into the monads, even gets borderline down to near MHT at times around 32-33F.
