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wx2fish

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by wx2fish

  1. Euro was the warmest model for today over the past couple of days. Everywhere is gonna spike near fropa, but euro was blasting 40s by to CON by 21z on a 48hr forecast
  2. Probably would happen with a stronger primary and the mid levels ripping west. Im most interested in a decent front end and this run looked a little better for that
  3. Hasn't been great lately imo. Too cold today, probably too cold this weekend. Doesnt mean next week won't whiff though.
  4. Wedge is ridiculous. Hitting like -10/-12C by Sunday PM. Would probably be one of those ripping sleet and generating flakes under the warm layer
  5. You really need some wind for big ice. Supplies lower dews from the NE to offset latent heating. It's why for big ice events we really need a meso low. In 08, ORH was gusting 20+
  6. Yeah doesn't really change the forecast. NAMs haven't havent had a whole lot, but have trended colder at the sfc since yesterday.
  7. Nams looked marginally better on the front end, esp 3k. Trending more wedged too which will probably prolong <32F, esp CNE.
  8. Not unless it's trends warmer. Even 6z euro keeps most of SNH wedged in the 30s, maybe hits 40 here near the border
  9. Yeah probably the bullseye that run. 925 is frigid in SNH. Prob alot of sleet after an initial dump
  10. Real cold run. Interior doesn't even sniff upper 20s. Hopefully see the euro cool off a bit
  11. Right about 7" here too in Windham.
  12. GFS still pretty locked in. Not much change at 12z for the SNH crew
  13. Pumping out 0.75"+ for most of MA. Definitely would be some 10" lolis
  14. Pretty dry dgz on the hrrr soundings around dtw. Guessing that's the cause on the ptype maps
  15. Despite the anemic look elsewhere, 3km jacks him too. Definitely buy some good banding somewhere in NH with the mid level track
  16. Bit of a cold tuck pressing into NE MA now. Some of the areas the hit 32-33 may have a quick drop shortly
  17. Yeah basically done. Just some lingering freezing drizzle or light sleet. Low levels are gonna stay wedged for a while so probably some fzfg this evening in spots
  18. Just over 2" and a crust of freezing drizzle. Didnt melt any down, but definitely has a little meat to it.
  19. Plenty of good looks on the ensemble mean too, right through next weekend.
  20. Yeah here the deeper echoes are producing flakes, but outside of them it goes to crap
  21. Some good bursts of +SN. Eyeballing near 2" so far
  22. You want the DGZ saturated with lift through that layer, so a thicker DGZ provides a much larger favorable window. Basically just increases the size of the target.
  23. Flirting with a pretty thick DGZ on the soundings. Northern side is probably high ratio fluff in this one
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