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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. Stoped a while ago here. I guess the Rap and Hrrr will be right with their forecast of no snow this pm and wrong with their earlier forecasts of decent snow. Odd...that never happens.
  2. Just checked my NWS forecast. Went from 2-4" to 1-3" this PM. Says snows arrive after 3pm. I'll take that and hope for the 2-3".
  3. Oye, I haven't been looking at the short term models, but just did. Rap and Hrrr say that the stuff on radar never amounts to anything imby. Oh well. We'll find out, but certainly less optimistic.
  4. Bigger flakes have now shown up as that stuff out west and NW is arriving. I really think many of us will be pleasantly surprised. Obviously, it will take some locational luck, but doesn't it always?
  5. Stuff out of Pitt radar making it across the mtns. Got come south eventually. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/?parms=CCX-N0B-1-24-100-usa-rad
  6. Lwx radar is now showing radar returns to our west heading toward us. Give it some time. We have a NE flow to help with mtn loss, but it's a nail biter. Anyway, my call of 3-5" from early yesterday looks good now. But honestly, if we do get a lucky break on that stuff out west, I could bust low as I measured 2.75" this morning.
  7. Why? Pitt radar https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/?parms=PBZ-N0B-1-24-100-usa-rad
  8. I think we'll do fine with it, even up here.
  9. I'm about 4 miles south max from rt 30. I hope.
  10. We'll run with the weenie hope that Gfs handles N stream better than Euro.
  11. I love this radar from Pitt. The 700mb forcing stuff is sinking down and flow from sw is headed this way. I'm hoping it hits north of me then sinks down. We'll see. Official measurement from mby 90 minutes ago was 2.75". Lt snow has continued since. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/?parms=PBZ-N0B-1-24-100-usa-rad
  12. 12z Gfs says some N MD love from u/l low. Of course, I'm just a wee bit north.
  13. It's like 3"+. Where we live? I'll take it gladly.
  14. OC looks to have flipped after several inches. Visibility is up, so that's why I assume a flip. https://oceancitylive.com/
  15. Back to mod snow here. We're going to have snow of varying intensity all day into the night, but not too much that you can't go out in it. Absolute win in my book.
  16. DC to Bwi did get 4-6", with a few reports of 7-8", so they didn't fail. But it looks like some places in western VA did. Bwi's hourly reports https://forecast.weather.gov/data/obhistory/KBWI.html
  17. That's exactly what I was thinking. We will have great ratios with that u/l which can add unexpected totals.
  18. A lot of people crying bust in the MA forum, but decent totals from some posters. Moderate here here now I would guess with maybe 2" eyeballing it, maybe less. Northern area of forcing some were counting definitely way north as Mag showed. Whatever the totals end up being, looks to snow all day into tonight, which is great in my book.
  19. Only reason I'm still awake is to check the Icon and Gfs for next weekend since they both had a phase at 18z.
  20. A little SE ridge will force it up the coast instead of off the se coast.
  21. Inside Borough north side. Only 7 miles north of MD line as the crow flies.
  22. Honestly, I've never cared about whether I get warned, watch, etc. I just want frozen qpf!
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