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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. Not as good as 0z I believe. Snowfall mean shifted SE from 0z, so even though that doesn't look bad, the trend is consistent with other modeling pushing the best eastward. NE actually improved thanks to their sticking out to the east.
  2. Ughh Bwi hasn't reported snowfall yet, but qpf was .73". Can't wait.
  3. Chilly outside at around 17. Weekend threat is probably not a big deal with jackpot zones, you guessed it, exactly where yesterday's were. Southern and se PA favored as of now. 1-3" is what's favored now subject to change.
  4. Rgem looked pretty good at the end. We're seeing a positive trend at least, whether modest or strong, it's positive.
  5. I'll shoot squirrel. I don't need a elk! Consequential measurable snowfall works for me.
  6. NE folks like it a lot and believe it a phase as well, but it doesn't really matter for more than 6 hours anyway. Lol
  7. Here's the 18z Gfs version same time as Nam https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=500th&rh=2025010700&fh=84&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1
  8. Don't laugh at the map, but it shows a picture very similar to Gfs with the elongated 5H trough. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=nam&p=500th&rh=2025010700&fh=84&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1
  9. Looks like a phase to me, but who knows if it would deliver or not. Big boys on deck anyway.
  10. Nam looks pretty good if I must say so, and I must.
  11. I was 2.75" as of 10am, then we had light snows for several hours putting me at 3". Tonight ain't worth measuring as I can see it's around .5" and the wind is making it too crazy for an exact number, so I'll go with a final total of 3.5".
  12. Painful? Yes, but it beats a total miss like 1/3/22.
  13. Down to random flakes but radar says 2 more wesker bands are close by. We'll see.
  14. Looking at radar, I think I'll be stuck at or under an additional inch.
  15. 18z run comparison of Euro, Gfs, and Ukie at 66hrs since that's as far out as Ukie run goes on Pivotal.
  16. Nice dendrites that are covering everything nicely.
  17. Here you go Heisey. 12z Gem at 90hrs top and 18z Gem at 84hrs along with a link for all 18z Gem if you're looking for something to do. Lol https://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/forecast-systems.php?lang=en&mod=cmc_gdps
  18. Good. Eastern shores of MD/DE have had enough. Lol
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