Seems the difference between the dry solutions and wet ones are the extent of the eastward progress of the cold. Gem, for example, has the least eastward progression and the strongest storm, albeit too far west outside the foothills and west.
EuroAI MUCH wetter for Sunday and a light to mod hit for Wednesday.
Here's the link to scroll through precip. Easier thame posting separate maps.
https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/aifs_medium-mslp-rain?base_time=202501151200&interval=6&projection=opencharts_north_america&valid_time=202501151800
Here's a link to EuroAI products from free Euro site.
https://charts.ecmwf.int/?facets={"Product type"%3A["Experimental%3A AIFS"]%2C"Parameters"%3A[]%2C"Range"%3A[]%2C"Type"%3A[]}
Sunday on 6z Euro AI is wetter. Pure guess based on lousy maps, but 3-4" generally?
But next week shifted east with a scrapper. Don't worry about next week because AI just as jumpy as other models 5+ days out.
EuroAI same on Sunday with between .2-.3" of qpf.
Next week is a moderate hit with more qpf south and east. It actually has a follow-up storm a day or 2 later with very light qpf.
What a variety of solutions. Lol
This run makes no sense considering both the Ukie and Gem. Plenty of time to break more hearts. Focus on Sunday because whatever happens then will have an effect on next week.
I think it would bring some precip up. Whether it would bring the full load, idk. Depends if the southern lobe of the 5H vort was continuing to rotate enough counterclockwise. Imho.