mitchnick
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Everything posted by mitchnick
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18z Eps snowfall. Really close to 12z. Slight reduction due to slight reduction in qpf. System behind it is getting it out of here by 12z Sunday.
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They have me as snow on Saturday after 1pm and then rain and snow Saturday night and Sunday. I would make a snarky remark but don't want to jinx myself!
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I was just kidding, hence the lol. No, after retiring last year from 40 years as a lawyer in MD, I'm pretty content with being brain dead looking at weather models during the first decent Niño in 8 years.
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So where exactly do I go to find this "life" you reference. Lol
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Agree, but you don't need snow to shovel...just read my posts.
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Hope so. Time to worry. Lol On an unrelated note, the 18z Gefs snowfall map is uncannily similar to the 12z Eps. Don't recall seeing such agreement by those 2 ensemble products at this range and for such a significant snowstorm.
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Weenie rule of thumb #3: Worry often and worry hard.
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IF the Gfs is close to being right, we'll have bare, rock hard frozen ground a couple of days after this. Nice
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After the 2nd cutter we get our chance the way the trough is aligning on the Gfs. Of course, could be wrong.
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Qpf only thru 286hrs on 18z Gfs
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Yep. And another after that too.
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Actually, I find that follow-up cutter depressing as many of the models are killing any front end. Hopefully, that comes back.
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So taken with the B word, will we have an effin' B?
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Agree. Using snowfall maps as a gauge is a mistake...that's why I do it, at least.
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It's a lot of snow. That's all you need to know at this time. Lol
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Crushed here
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Gfs will be north of 12z this run
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That 1/4 storm is really lowering heights along the coast in its wake, particularly on the Gfs. As much as it may make me uncomfortable to say it, I don't mind seeing the primary go into the Tenn Valley first. Remember, we do need some ridging ahead of the system to get it up the coast some...just not too much.
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Yeah, I couldn't decide. I figured that if the High in Quebec kept moving out, it would have no problem moving nne and being a hit. But if the High held its ground, no dice.
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Not trying to pee on your party because I've been burned by them, but Storm Vista snowfall maps have always seemed to be off by 1 category vs. its legend (8-10 is really 6-8.) Here's Pivotal if ur interested.
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Yep, I was right. Still as good as 0z however.
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I think this Eps snowfall is wrong and the colors on the scale are 1 off (8-10 is really 6-8), but we'll see shortly when Pivotal Eps comes out.
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It is, but it's moving faster than last night's run because there's another vort on its tail. Pick out which is the 12z run and which is the 0z without having to look at the time stamp. I bet you got it right.
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You're an Orioles fan...you should be used to it!
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Gets pushed along this run by trailing waive keeping totals more in the 6-10" vs. 10-14"
