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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. Believe me, there are a lot of attorneys seemingly without a law degree, so you'll fit right in. P.s. That really is a great odea charging people for emails. I'm in.
  2. Fear is my friend. I'll take the cliff option
  3. I think we're ok. There's enough model support for at least 4" at this range imho.
  4. Forecast price menu to be pm'ed to you before the end of the day. We always love our customers. ™
  5. If you asked me for an early forecast TODAY, I'd say 4-8" storm for most. Best case would be 6-10". Subject to change as we get closer obviously.
  6. Not for Icon. Just Tropical Tidbits. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=icon&region=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2024010212&fh=117
  7. And just like that, it was changed. Your's probably had a mix before the update.
  8. I'm still a mix for Saturday night and Sunday. They sometimes treat my area as the bastid child being so close to MD and lumping our forecast with Lwx's northern MD forecasts, or so it seems.
  9. The only difference up here in PA is a weaker storm with .1" less qpf on the mean. No rain/sleet/snow issues on the mean. Less qpf dropped snowfall map by an inch or less depending on your exact location. Boost the qpf, and we're right back to 0z run.
  10. Don't know if anybody looks at it, but Pivotal offers the "NWS Blend of Midels," which is a combo of models. It's basically an ensemble type product using operational models, which makes more sense theoretically since they have better resolution than ensemble suites. Anyway, here's the link. It has been gradually increasing snow totals in case you were wondering. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=nbm&p=snowfall_acc-imp&rh=2024010207&fh=11&r=us_state_pa&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1
  11. Hmm...look where the Icon puts the next event's slp. Coldish too.
  12. Icon definitely coming up to us per 108hrs maps imho.
  13. Practice squad: https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?rh=2024010121&fh=87&dpdt=&mc=&r=conus&p=sfcmslp-meanmem&m=srefens
  14. Yes. Better for ratios, which won't show up on 10:1 ensemble maps.
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