mitchnick

God love you.

https://charts.ecmwf.int/?facets={"Product type"%3A[]%2C"Parameters"%3A[]%2C"Range"%3A["Extended (42 days)"]%2C"Type"%3A[]}

Cfs thinks February will be Nino'ish with NN/BN temps across the northern tier into the MA and way AN precip. It's vacilated over recent weeks on February temps, but very consistent on AN precip. Before the peanut gallery feels compelled to curse me, I'm the messenger and not the programmer. Lol

50-51 in Hamover Rye, PA

That's the 1 I was referring to. Thanks

Where is Bliz with the Euro maps?

12z Gefs increased snowfall from 6z. Lol

Nothing incredible, but the Nam twins are starting to like some accumulations thru the area, with the 3k surprisingly better than Papa Nam.

Even that is a lot more than anything else.

With some of their forecasts, they just may be under the influence!

Idk what the Gefs has been smoking, but the 6z run has come in with more snow with a changeover tomorrow night. This is 10:1, so it's definitely overdone, nothing else looks like it. I don't believe it, but sure as heck wish it would score the coup.

What's wrong with a skin on pizza?

I'm just wondering how embarrassed his parents must be having their high school Valedictorian son who graduated from an Ivy League college traveling via Greyhound bus. Lol Of course, I'm being facetious and do not intend to lose site of the gravity of the crime he committed. The guy is going to find out all about injustice while he's in a NYC jail. He's going to wish somebody shot him.

He's from Towson, MD. My wife grew up 5 minutes from Towson, she and my daughter graduated from Towson University, our rehersal dinner was in Towson, and many of my wife's relatives still live in Towson. More importantly, I got intoxicated too many times to count in Towson over the years! Lol. All I can say is, that is crazy. Parents had to have money to afford one of those prep high schools he attended, but I haven't heard which one. Friends, Boys Latin, ??

These guys seem to like the idea too. https://x.com/bamwxcom/status/1866187927140663665

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/12/09/brian-thompson-killing-man-questioned-in-pennsylvania-in-unitedhealthcare-ceo-slaying.html TCC?

Since the Yankees didn't get Soto, you know they're coming for some Orioles. $765M is ridiculous.

I admit to listening to Christmas music once they start playing it, but I can't remember seeing anything from him on either Sirius or Xfinity. I guess I'm too busy boping along.

They're too young.

6z went the other way unfortunately.

You may be right, but I can't recall this kind of cooling over such a large area of the warm pool, from the far western Indian Ocean to Enso 4. And would you expect this kind of cooling with just convection? Idk, just seems like maybe there's more to it. Time will tell I guess.

Crazy ending to my walk just now. Came to an intersection a few blocks from my house and it's all residential. There are 7 deer. 3 split off of the group and head right toward me at about 50', so got behind a tree, and then they cut right. The other group were just watching around 100 feet away. Then 2 of the 3 that cut right came back from in between the houses in my general direction, but I had already walked away from the tree. Fortunately, they wanted no parts of me and went down the road and through an intersection. Fortunately, no cars. So I'm heading back around a block from there and 3 from the other group are no tearing down the center of my road as I was about to turn onto it and they went straight into a back yard to God knows where. I'm too damn old for this nature crap. I didn't move to Hanover to experience wildlife in the wilds of my neighborhood streets!

One thing I've noticed looking at this SSTA map is the recent cooling in the warm pool. Now, idk if this is more accurate than Oisst or Coral Reefs, but all 3 show cooling. Certainly, the map at my link seems more aggressive with temps getting a whole lot closer to normal. Anyway, it's just another piece that makes wonder if that cooling is weakening the extent of the Phases 4-5-6 effects on the Conus. Idk, just wondering. https://psl.noaa.gov/map/clim/sst.anom.anim.week.html Edit: Forgot to mention cooling IO too.

There's that gratuitous beachfront Niña storm/bliz. You knew it would show up eventually.

Snowman, I'm not disagreeing that right now looks like a Niña, but the majority of Niñas peak by the end of December and we haven't had one month of a -.5C in Enso 3.4 So unless you have a really odd Niña push, you're going to lose the Niña background before winter's end; and with a weak state, how much of a lag will hold over, idk. Plus, I can't help but believe that the cold is not at least, in part, due to a La Nada atmosphere.