Jump to content

mitchnick

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    26,488

  • Joined

 Content Type 

Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. mitchnick
    Because it's slower, it's a little harder to compare apples to apples. On a positive note, Ukie ensembles have the best snowfall yet. Remember folks, ensembles are always lighter, so this ain't bad. Also, below is a link to slp at 162 hrs. Not bad either. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=mogrepsgens&p=sfcmslp-meanmem&rh=2024123018&fh=162&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1
  2. mitchnick
    Figure this out...18z Euro with a stronger vort but 18z Eps weaker than 12z run.
  3. mitchnick
    I don't like seeing it slow down. I think we get the best outcome smashing the s/w into the cold as fast as possible giving the best dynamics. Delayed is so often denied. Plus, closed lows (which it is now showing for the first time) west of the Mississippi rarely turn out well in our back yards. We'll see. Plenty of time of modeling to explore even more bad options. Lol
  4. mitchnick
    I don't know what to root for with this one as I could see a fail in any direction.
  5. mitchnick
    18z Euro coming out now. It goes out 144hrs, so we should have a decent idea whether it's holding serve.
  6. mitchnick
    Don't tell me how to live my life! j/k
  7. mitchnick
    Upgrade this year that was sorely needed after the alleged 2018 "upgrade."
  8. mitchnick
    This includes other stuff, but Kuchera is better than 10:1 in this threat.
  9. mitchnick
    Eps is out too. 12z run better than 0z. 0z on top.
  10. mitchnick
    At this point, operationals are just a higher skilled ensemble member wrt 1/6 & beyond. We wait.
  11. mitchnick
    Even the actual Euro site is only out to 24hrs.
  12. mitchnick
    Ukie is crushed...along with our dreams.
  13. mitchnick
    You'll need to subscribe first to get an answer.
  14. mitchnick
    Gem at 156hrs looks much different thann0z. S/w is more amped put west. Shocked if it cuts, but shred and suppression still on the table.
  15. mitchnick
    He was trying to keep it Direct.
  16. mitchnick
    6z Euro/Eps a little faster than 0z in moving system eastward. No big changes other than that to these weenie eyes.
  17. mitchnick
    Can't disagree one bit, but the end of fantasyland on the Gfs ain't chopped liver either, though it starts a little warmer.
  18. mitchnick
    Nice runs on the 0z Euro and 6z Gfs.
  19. mitchnick
    Next 1 is lighter snow, but close to much better.
  20. mitchnick
    The slp off the coast that was 1/6 storm refuses to leave which is messing up the flow methinks.
  21. mitchnick
    Or Flipper.
  22. mitchnick
    Hits a wall. I'd be fuming if I was in NE.
  23. mitchnick
    Any tic or 2 of trending and it'll look more like the Euro unfortunately.
  24. mitchnick
    12 Euro AI sends the 6th to the south with light precip in the area, more south, and brings the 2nd storm further north and clips area with .2-.3" qpf. Bottom line, better than operational.
  25. mitchnick
    Fyi, Ukie ensembles now available on Pivotal out to 198 hrs on free site. Can never have too many ensembles. Lol https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=mogrepsgens&p=500h_anom-mean&rh=2024122912&fh=0&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1
×
×
  • Create New...