mitchnick

You mean right before the 664 tunnel on the right as head are heading down? Always big piles there.

Snowing at about 1 mile vis. Everything whitener. The end is not far off unfortunately.

Don't look now, but our vaunted incoming torch pattern is looking more like a whimper. Yeah, it'll be AN some, but most of the warmth gets stuck in Canada. But that reloads fast on modeling for some adequate, if not, decent cold in January. All we'll need is precip. Last night's CFS snow depth map as they don't offer CFS snowfall maps on Pivotal for some darn reason. Hopefully, not pay walled. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=cfs&p=snod-imp&rh=2024122000&fh=loop&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1

Interesting precip movements around DCA/BWI. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/?parms=LWX-N0B-1-24-100-usa-rad

North

Nothing to hate here in ENE. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/?parms=DIX-N0B-1-24-100-usa-rad

3k. Further north. Still snowing some in Maine.

3k. It's done. Congrats x 2.

3k and not quite over yet. Congrats

My parents were from Wilkes-Barre. As a child (mid-late 60's), we would visit may father's parents and I still remember the piles of coal in the basement. But they used coal for both heating and cooking. I just assumed that coal usage for cooking AND heating was a thing of the past.

This may sound naive, but I'm surprised to hear coal furnaces are still in use. And I thought I was on TCC's shift list.

Surprisingly NOT melting on contact for once this year.

Lt sn

I should add that if you go back to previous days forecasts, progged westerlies have strengthened and easterlies weaker. https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/mofc_multi_mjo_family_time_longitudes?base_time=202412190000&filter=no&parameter=zonal wind 850 hPa

The Euro depicts westerlies across 1 thru 4 though.

Except trades take a break when westerlies take over for a few weeks, so that will...ready for this..."constructively interfere" with the Nina. How well the Niña recovers is unknown since the intensity and duration of the westerlies is still just a computer prog.

Here's a link to daily updates Euro weeklies if you don't have it. https://charts.ecmwf.int/?facets={"Product type"%3A[]%2C"Parameters"%3A[]%2C"Range"%3A["Extended (42 days)"]%2C"Type"%3A[]}

Euro Weeklies. https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/mofc_multi_mjo_family_time_longitudes?base_time=202412190000&filter=no&parameter=zonal wind 850 hPa

Gotta believe this is at least in part the reason for the Niño look on the weeklies. Compared to yesterday's run, more westerlies and less trades.

Do they ever. Youzah!

They can't help but be, but the general idea still supports cold enough for snow IF correct, of course.

End of ensembles and extended products all suggest we'll be cold enough for snow with the correctly placed pattern.

The best part is, there are decent arguments on both sides. So we just sit back and hope for the best. I think the La Nada conditions for so long with only recent Niña conditions has been a real screwball to long range modeling in part due to the lag in atmospheric response to the Niña. The La Nada has let a background Niño hold on, now it's the Niña fighting against it.

6z Gfs is looking for Ray.