mitchnick
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Everything posted by mitchnick
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Nam this run and last 2.
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High Risk met on MA forum said aHrrr 0z doesn’t have 0z soundings. Wtf? Why not call it the 23z Hrrr? Nam a bit south early on. We'll see. Not much yet.
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Like I said, it's all the mesos showing it and consistently run after run. The Hrrr, both Nams, Fv3, and SREFs.
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Still snowing imby at 48 too.
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Yes! I "cheated" and looked a couple of times already. Lol
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I want soooo bad for the Euro to be humiliated! Lol
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Ninja'd
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Finally transfers to coast at 43hrs
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5H low has opened up at 41 hrs so we'll see have much wrap around from upper level we can muster shortly.
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Look at the connective areas in Ohio.
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Geez. 998 near Elkins, WV and still snow here. Incredible
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Dry air definitely eating away snow accumulations east of the mts.
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I'll be shocked if Hrrr doesn't push precip further than the Nam. Look at greater zr area in VA.
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Hrrr just bullying it's way east. Look how the red and blue dashed heights lines are being pushed e and ne in front of it.
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Hrrr the first of the mesos to roll out tonight. Very interested to see if it folds. But atv16hrs on the 0z run it's already down to 999 and 1mb lower than 18z andc2 lower than 12z
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I have never seen such discrepancy between the mesos and globals. Crazy.
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Today’s weeklies are colder than yesterday's...what a shock. Last 3 weeks have AN precip on the east coast. Buckle up winter haters! Lol
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I honestly don't recall when the Nam twins, HRRR, and SREFs have had as many identical runs in a row to themselves and each other as they have with this snowstorm.
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Eps
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At 36hrs, you can see comparing 6z and 12z to this run how height lines jumped north from the 12z run.
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That's 10:1
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Late start
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Question for the Mets is, on average, as I know every storm and model performance is different, when does the HRRR reach its credible range?
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Forgot to mention, for updates, visit my home page at: https://famoushotweiner.com/
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For mby, I'll go with 3-5" for now, which is the optimistic side of the likely 2-4".
