Heisy
-
Posts
9,063 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by Heisy
-
Yeah, could tell the euro hopped on board at 18z so not surprised we seeing 00z do the same .
-
I thought the end of the 18z euro looked better, but there’s nothing really going on at the surface yet, maybe too positively tilted idk. There’s some GEFs members that turn this wave into a snowstorm so we’ll see what happens at 00z .
-
I think there’s a legit chance someone in those classic NW zones sees 10” .
-
I believe it is, the NW sections out there see the initial thump of moisture, it fills in SE with the coastal, that’s why it’s heavier out towards you guys .
-
End of the 18z euro H5 looked interesting, but there’s no real surface reflection though yet so idk .
-
That thing is locked and loaded, it’s a good compromise. I like the Ukie as a good starting point as a forecast. I think someone around like Allentown - Reading region up here could see 6-10” .
-
Yeah, I don’t even look at the 12km personally. 3km right in line with most guidance .
-
Think the NAM will come around this run. Better shortwave in the plains .
-
Nice. Makes sense, the wetter this storm the more NW pull you’ll probably see. .
-
Need to keep the ridge from rolling over like the euro Ai does. If so it’s got a chance to be a big one. .
-
What’s your experience tell you here in regards to the rgem/cmc doing this? . -
Verbatim it’s good, but you can see at H5 it made a big step towards more amped solutions. If the rgem didnt exist I’d feel fine about this run, but knowing what it did makes me feel iffy about that icon run. Ugh .
-
Icon ends up being a good hit but you can see it was a step towards the amped solutions. We need clarity something isn’t sitting right with me. .
-
The old sref hints at this too. I’m telling you there is something fishy going on. Maybe I need a dog lol. I’m worried about a full on collapse at 12z, icon coming in with stronger shortwave early on too .
-
Yes, I’ve seen it happen where one consistent model gets the win. The gefs had about 30% members that looked like the rgem. The fv3 looking like the rgem is another worry. I bet we see the GFS come NW big time this run, just a hunch based ln experience. I really hope I’m wrong .
-
The rgem will not give in. It has me extremely worried. We could see a really bad 12z suite if models cave .
-
That ULL in Canada keeps ticking W which is allowing the wave to turn the corner faster .
-
This is it’s time to shine. It’s been good before this, but I feel like more people paying attention this go around. It better not let me down. .
-
Im just NE of Philly, I’m more worried about a rgem solution vs SE. That GEFS run was concerning as well too, there were a lot of NW solutions .
-
This is it’s shot to become famous. .
-
Getting a touch worried about this thing being too far Nw for the city lol. Rgem and icon to an extent are nerve racking .
-
Yeah it’s pretty insane how each model varies after Sunday .
-
Kuchera has more to do with lift vs temps I believe, combination .
-
Plausible scenario, 6z gfs almost did that before it was able to escape. I’ll worry about it later, hoping we can cash in 3-6 on Sunday .
-
6z euro Ai buries the energy out west. Lot of shortwaves have been doing that this year so could be correct. .
