Heisy
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Everything posted by Heisy
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18z GEFs is pretty sweet for this range .
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The block just creates an area where the energy could just sit and spin under it. As long as no kicker comes off the pac a strong low could form .
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Gfs looks fun potentially. Depends if the energy can get its act together. That’s classic confluence setup though imo .
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February 11th,12th and 13th Event. Little Something Something.
Heisy replied to Mikeymac5306's topic in Philadelphia Region
Nothing here in Bensalem, my brother has some fine light snow just a few miles SW of here . -
Haha, posted this last night. Why can’t we get the March 2001 version that the models had few days out where it phases in time?! .
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Not to compare events but I mentioned last night how the h5 progression is sort of March 01-ish but it’s so far out who knows .
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Haha no worries being sarcastic. Yeah so far it’s basically messy progression. Long way to go .
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Mitch I need an update that the 6z euro Ai is a hit for the 20th .
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Block gets so far displaced S on the cmc it pushes a piece of the tpv ULL into the conus lol .
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Stop worrying about rain snow lines at this range. Pattern is supportive of a winter storm that’s all that matters at this range. Just for fun .
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March 2001 .
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Look at cmc does that h5 progression remind you of something? You better know! .
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Bomb incoming on the GFS .
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End of the icon, for those as bored as me .
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18z gfs now on board (fantasy land) of course, but at least Mitch now can say the OPs would be on board. I knew this would happen after looking at the ensembles .
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Next week without football and a rain storm is going to suck, but hopefully we’re tracking the 20th storm by then .
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Euro OP and EPS look almost identical at day 10 which is pretty impressive .
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Yeah it’s actually an important step in the progression. It sets up the 50/50 .
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EPS lit like a Christmas tree .
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Yea with that type of pattern I’d venture the ensembles offer some hits if they’re similar .
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Much better patterns on cmc and gfs. .
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Mitch gfs looks more like the euro Ai this run with the tpv setup. Wonder where this leads with the energy entering NW (that’s our 20th event) .
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Rather it be ensembles vs the OPs. I feel fine about the 20th time frame. OPs will come around if that pattern is correct .
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Like I said, looking at the ensembles and some of the OP runs setup it just doesn’t make sense for a cutter. Yeah sure the event next Sunday is because the TPV is in C Canada but after that I’d be surprised .
