Heisy
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Everything posted by Heisy
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Yea it didn’t have the same arctic push ahead of the low .
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Yea man I saw that! enjoy, hoping to get 1-2 hours of the same if those bands swing through .
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Maybe we can get it to lock in 12 days out this time .
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EPS has same look .
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Way out in lala land but almost same setup as the Ai on the 12z euro .
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I’m seeing all of the OPs generally follow the same progression as the Ai with dumping the energy out west and allowing N/S to race ahead to reinforce cold. Here is icon for example… .
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Euro Ai keeps showing an event near the 30th .
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Ukie is awesome .
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It’s got potential but the damn ridge rolls over so everything is speeding up the wave. Without that happening this thing would have bombed out like some of the old GFS runs had it doing. Shame. Still, as is could back it up for a scraper at least. .
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I actually thought the rgem ticked SE a bit. Btw my forecast for Philly is the following. Precip will spread into the NW burbs of Philly first. It’ll fill in once the coastal forms which is when the city should see most of its snow. 2.5-3” total. The typical NW corridor will see 4-7” with some 8-9” reports. Mostly because they get that first burst of precip. That initial banding will be fun for whoever gets under it .
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Flow behind the wave, the energy crashing over the ridge disrupts everything I think .
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The day 6-8 thing looks more Miller B ish. .
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This looks potentially fun .
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Yeah, could tell the euro hopped on board at 18z so not surprised we seeing 00z do the same .
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I thought the end of the 18z euro looked better, but there’s nothing really going on at the surface yet, maybe too positively tilted idk. There’s some GEFs members that turn this wave into a snowstorm so we’ll see what happens at 00z .
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I think there’s a legit chance someone in those classic NW zones sees 10” .
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I believe it is, the NW sections out there see the initial thump of moisture, it fills in SE with the coastal, that’s why it’s heavier out towards you guys .
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End of the 18z euro H5 looked interesting, but there’s no real surface reflection though yet so idk .
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That thing is locked and loaded, it’s a good compromise. I like the Ukie as a good starting point as a forecast. I think someone around like Allentown - Reading region up here could see 6-10” .
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Yeah, I don’t even look at the 12km personally. 3km right in line with most guidance .
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Think the NAM will come around this run. Better shortwave in the plains .
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Nice. Makes sense, the wetter this storm the more NW pull you’ll probably see. .
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Need to keep the ridge from rolling over like the euro Ai does. If so it’s got a chance to be a big one. .
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What’s your experience tell you here in regards to the rgem/cmc doing this? . -
Verbatim it’s good, but you can see at H5 it made a big step towards more amped solutions. If the rgem didnt exist I’d feel fine about this run, but knowing what it did makes me feel iffy about that icon run. Ugh .
