Heisy
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Everything posted by Heisy
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The phasing shortwave that the GFS drops into the trough is off the coast of Alaska currently fwiw, such a crucial piece .
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It’s all about the N branch lobe that dives down on the GFS. How often does GFS win model battles with major features? Not often. CMC evolution makes more reasonable sense, it’s strong enough with southern energy to create some coastal precipitation. I hope the GFS is right, but until the euro has anything like it I’d toss personally .
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It’s the N branch that trended worse this run. Compare 96 to 18z 102 and look at the northern shortwave. That is the shortwave that drops in on GFS and late on the cmc run. Can be corrected next run hopefully .
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Great signal at this range, this model has been good .
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Yea, but definitely better than the OP euro, been following this new euro Ai model all winter and it’s been doing pretty good .
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From our Philly discord, comes out early on the ecmwf site, very good sign! .
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Yeah, awaiting wxbell maps, that looks pretty good. Was posted on our Philly discord .
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18z euro Ai .
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18z euro Ai is a hit… .
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Not as much as GFS, step in right direction at least. Euro Ai Has been nailing things lately, 18z euro kind of looks like 12z euro Ai with the amount of phasing. .
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Better phasing occurring .
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Euro looks better with N stream so far thru 74 .
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GEFs looks like the 12z euro Ai fwiw. I’m really hoping euro makes a nice stride here. If not by 00z .
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GEFS looks somewhat similar to the 12z euro Ai fwiw, little touch more aggressive .
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The GEFS is phasing! .
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Don’t worry about specifics, worry about the phase early on. Icon and GFS just surprisingly brought it back. This is an all or nothing situation, anxiously awaiting Euro .
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This is how tentative of a situation this is. You strengthen that N stream just a touch and it’s able to dive over the ridge and crash S. Just that small difference is what makes this go from a BECS or a flat wave that heads out to sea. I’m anxiously awaiting euro lol .
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One time! Lock it up, I’m not getting excited yet but if euro comes back at 18z I’ll lose my marbles lol .
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Holy fook .
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Mitch, folks…. .
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It’s diving all the way in, going to have to create some kind of big event… .
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Yep the trough is better positioned, it’s going to definitely be close .
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Yep, looks very 6z GFS esque, common… .
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You can tell the streams are better aligned here… common… .
