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Heisy

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Everything posted by Heisy

  1. Meh second glance there’s no cold air really so would need a miracle track .
  2. Ah I see thanks. Not a bad setup, ha, would need that 50/50 a little farther S. I’m still checking in here and there .
  3. I’m out of the loop, does the OP euro not exist anymore? Pivotal only has this new version, check this H5 look it has for 6z run .
  4. Cape any snow on the GEFS? I deleted wxbell. Soothe my addiction a bit lol. If we somehow get a threat I’ll reup. .
  5. Right lol. That tpv wave that slides out ahead of the main trough is key. .
  6. Euro obv trending right direction, lot flatter vs 00z wrapped up solution .
  7. I cancelled wxbell, I thought the euro looked like it was primed to give an interior event at 240…. Can you post the h5 from control? .
  8. I’m just curious, did the 12z Ukie do anything with that wave beyond 144 hours? I know you have SV. It was pretty positively tilted. .
  9. P27 drops 4 feet so it might be skewing the mean lmao .
  10. I’d like to figure out how those 3 ensemble members did what they did. I imagine they string out the trough and slow down the bottom half. So you’re telling me there’s a chance? .
  11. End of 00z control starts to give us some blocking around the 8th. You can see how this could lead to a workable pattern by mid month or so. By then we’ll likely have had a few 60-70 degree days so people might be checked out, but I still wonder if we have 1 last miracle shot come mid month with the SSW etc End of EPS starting to move the heights towards Greenland. The weeklies give us a workable pattern once that trough out west finally heads east, we’ll see about that… .
  12. Gfs has a goofy anafrontal wave around March 1-3. Hits NE good, it’s one way to score a miracle in a crap pattern though lol .
  13. SSW magic still on the table, will be interesting see if see any changes in the LR with Atlantic blocking. I’m no expert in the Strat that’s for sure but it can’t hurt. 3 week lag time or so takes us to like end of first week of March .
  14. Weeklies get us into a favorable look 3/12 onward but they seem to be defaulting to that look a lot so hard to have any hope especially at that date. Who knows .
  15. GFS likely a bogus solution. Not much support for that at all. It’s just so much different with the tpv. Sometimes one run of the GFS can take few runs to initialize out. That diving N/S lobe isn’t close to doing that on any other model. I imagine by 18z it won’t exist. Hope I’m wrong though. I plan to chase this wave if it somehow does develop into something big .
  16. Icon developed too late but in line with what we’d want to see just farther SE development if possible .
  17. There is better separation with southern wave so idk. You’re probably right though. Hard to say. This definitely all favors NE of course. I might decide to chase it if it becomes a big event. Haven’t gone anywhere this year yet .
  18. No icon posts? This was a good sign Little later phase and boom .
  19. Can tell early on the 00z GFS will drop that N/S lobe S again. Not as crazy as 12z, better than 18z .
  20. Helmet and knee pads as usual. We need the ocean storm to bomb out ahead of it, force the main low farther S .
  21. For weeks I’ve mentioned 2/24/24 sounded great, well it’s a day early but we’ll take it. Careful though could just be the medium/long range euro going bonkers as usual .
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