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Heisy

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Everything posted by Heisy

  1. Euro has that ULL sitting over us, lot different than cmc which is on its own with its handling with that. Idk if any event will be able to make it up to us with that sitting there though…. .
  2. Not sure anything will come of it this run. A lot of the energy from our wave got left behind in the other trough still out in the PAC. Too weak this run .
  3. I don’t think the 12z GFS will have as strong of a shredder over us based on what I’m seeing around 132 hours .
  4. Fun days ahead with this omega block. Gonna see all sorts of wild runs. We have to see how strong the “shredder” ends up being. Congrats DT, Jesus Christ 2-3’ in VA it’s still snowing at the end of the run .
  5. First wave likely not going to be able to come N if that shredder ULL is there, but gfs eventually looks like this which is a terrific look .
  6. Hard to get anything to our latitude with these shredders, but we’ll see what happens .
  7. It’s on the table. Ridge position is iffy but we’ll see. I’m just in waiting mode down here in Philly. Would love a yearly chase .
  8. End of control, (just an extension of the OP) imo looks better for diver…. .
  9. Gulf of Maine, developed a little later than GFS but definitely in the same ballpark. Every winter we get a chance or 2 at something extreme happening. Most of the time something screws it up, or timing is slightly off, but it’s on the table at least on two of the global so we got a shot! .
  10. Ridge placed a little E this run, this thing should still get funky though .
  11. Euro not as aggro as the GFS but it does have the diving shortwave, see what it does here… .
  12. Fun to look at for now, multiple waves diving over the ridge lots of volatility ahead .
  13. Pretty wild pattern. Curious how it plays out once we get closer .
  14. Gfs is falling in love with this N/S diver…. See if it spins anything up .
  15. End of 18z GEFS still following weeklies pretty closely… We take .
  16. I mean the weeklies are about as perfect as you could ask for lol. It starts with the split flow pattern we see at the end of the 12z eps today and it’s literally deep winter thru the end of the run. Pretty sick. Really hope it’s even close to right we’ll end the season above average if so no doubt .
  17. We’re a long way out, but Feb 8-10 has a threat in it similarly to how the control did it. Split flow the STJ is going to undercut the central conus/Canada ridge. 12z GFS had a similar evolution a few days later. We can def score in this type of pattern. Would be a great sign if we do! .
  18. There’s also a second event towards day 10. N/S clipper like diver. Gfs has been on this a few runs now. Euro had it last night. 12z euro has this wave as well… see what it does with it .
  19. The compressed heights from the N/S slows down the main trough forces slower development. Cmc and icon were in general agree. This could also be the euro going crazy with the ccb aspect, but certainly the trend we want to see .
  20. If you look at the ensemble members there have been members that had this solution. It’s definitely on the table. .
  21. 12z euro coming in with even lower heughts out ahead of the low… .
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