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Heisy

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Everything posted by Heisy

  1. Cape you may have misread me. I was stating that the euro and GFS are still on different hemispheres. I’m not worried yet. I think most guidance leans to a GFS like solution. Unless we see some major shifts on the other models I’m fairly confident euro will come around by the end of the day .
  2. This is pretty major differences for 84-90hrs out. Euro is an improvement but it still wouldn’t have been close to the GFS. I think the euro will cave over the next 24 hours since most of the other data leans GFS evo side .
  3. I’m honestly shocked the euro did this again tonight after the other guidance. I don’t think I’ve ever seen this honestly .
  4. Ukie H5, we def have another 24-36 hours until we see some more consensus .
  5. Ukie H5, we def have another 24-36 hours until we see some more consensus .
  6. On the bright side regarding the cmc, at least it shows this a couple days later… More potential .
  7. This will be a nailbiter, ugh, idk about this run boys, sloppier phase going on .
  8. Gfs has slightly stronger tpv press, my early guess would be this comes SE of 18z .
  9. Def some changes with the pac wave that comes on shore at 50-60 hours. See how that plays out .
  10. Well, the garbage Icon is similar to 12z euro, but this model blows so we’re still 0/0 in my book .
  11. Rgem looks decent at end of run. Let’s go boys, let’s reel it closer tonight .
  12. 18z control bumped up a bit. This is probably what the OP would have generally shown outside 90hrs. .
  13. Not sure if anyone has noticed this, but it’s an important aspect that’s not settled and it’s closer to initialization than our actual storm. Check out the PNA ridge. Euro camp has a wave embedded here in the flow which actually impacts things very much. Here is 18z control vs 18z GFS. One is not like the other, and it’s not even close. Euro has a kicker, gfs does not. That’s the type of large scale feature we should see a cave from one side very soon, probably the GFS Uhhhh… .
  14. Look how the wave near the dakotas backed up. That would allow for more phasing once it tries to turn the corner. On top of that the tpv press isn’t as strong .
  15. Not a pro, but I’m a fan, think there’s better spacing with the TPV, our wave is backed up a bit, not pressing as far S. I wouldn’t guarantee it looks like GFS but I imagine it would be much better than 12z crap. Maybe like last nights 00z? We’ll see the control/eps less than an hour .
  16. Nice pick for an analog. 18z euro thru 75, I like how the main vort has backed up a tick .
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