Heisy

Thanks Walt!

Not sure if trolling, or if you don’t know what an average is.

Because it’s wrapped up cutoff from the flow. SE ridge flexing its muscle a tad too

The JMA H5 graphics always reminded me of the NOGAPS for some reason lol. It tends to be like smoothed out idk. It’s not a good model but i look at it as support for a storm idea.

Icon has a snow event day 7-8 as well. Different shortwave than GFS is showing, but much snowier runs today so far.

What does the op 6z euro run to? Curious what H5 looks. I’d imagine with a colder flatter look there the follow up wave might have more room to occur.

wow I haven’t heard his name in a while! I actually had his email newsletter as a teen. I used to love reading it before school. Nostalgic memories for sure... Where does he post these days?

Ukie looks good, nice energy behind the main front... and it worked in 2015! (I think that was the year)

Would need a nice Anafront type deal on that day 7 thing.

Waaaay out in time, but an example how you guys can still cash in this pattern if that blocking is real. Zonal flow for the most part but just enough cold air is forced south with the Greenland ridge

2nd run in a row showing ridging into Greenland on the GFS. Looks like a classic SWFE on the day 9-10 range too

This was the ukie at 144 hours, really good setup imo, it looks way better than the euro did at the same time frame and the euro was relatively close..could definitely imagine a low developing behind the initial wave if we saw beyond here...spacing has to be perfect and I’m a bit worried about the fast flow and any west coast shortwaves rushing things behind this... (Animation taken from another forum)

Tip alluded to this, but something I noticed was when I did flip to snow it stuck to all surfaces practically immediately. In my life in philly I had never seen that during a changeover event. It always took some time for pavement to accumulate. When the fatties were falling it stuck and accumulated pretty much evenly to every surface. This seems kind of odd considering ratios were bad. When that had happened I thought for sure we might bust high or at least do close to expectation. I didn’t notice the melting aspect until the tail end of the deformation zone where I imagine temps might have climbed up a tad.

That’s the thing. People seem to complain a lot these days, especially in philly, but in the last 2 decades you can’t really doubt we’ve been spoiled with major events....

Idk I mean verbatim, yeah, but probably the only legit shot for a while... not impossible

Was just about to post the euro... I don’t have precip maps so not sure where precip is but the idea of a second wave has been an idea on the models for a bit, but spacing wasn’t good...this isn’t far from a legit coastal

Yea when I flipped and started accumulating fast I thought for sure 12 was a distinct possibility. This quieted my appetite, but I’m already craving more! Thankfully it’s December and not late Feb. Any 12+ potential and I’m on the road these days, gotta enjoy my 30s no regrets!

I just woke up. Had to catch up a lot of sleep. Think I probably had 7? Melting started at tail end. Gonna wait to drive home as late as possible in day. Not the 12 I had hoped for, but idc worth it regardless. The chase is the best part!

Hey man how was the trip? I made a quick spot change this am. I have no clue how my original spots doing but I’m doing fine here. Kind of wish I made the little extra trip to Maine, but no complaints. I wasn’t expected anything crazy I just didn’t get like any snow last year so I’ve been feening

Unverified eyeballing 6-7” londonderry, Think we could muster up another 2” here for sure

It’s puking here right now, nice back building/pivot here. Hoping we don’t lose power turns out it had just flickered and they don’t have generators...I really wanted to hit 12 might not have the duration. Think 9 is about where I’ll end up give or take an inch.

Still ripping pretty good in londonderry. Curious when it shuts off here

Back edge expanding a bit last few frames, sign of it slowing down a bit?

Puking snow Londonderry, so beautiful out right now. Awesome.

when do you guys think accumulations end for areas? Hrrr looks about 11pm where I’m at... I love when the sun is setting during a snowstorm. Freaking beautiful out there with all the trees caked. You guys think I can hit a foot here (Londonderry)