Jump to content

Heisy

Members
  • Posts

    9,063
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by Heisy

  1. I think tonight’s cmc is the most realistic outcome
  2. Throw out the GFS. That isn’t happening. In fact if the snow map looks anything like tonight’s run I’ll video tape me running nude down broad street. Philly will be in that 5-10 range most likely. Their biggest issue will be subsidence/mix. In fact I’d venture to say the city will see heavier snow rates in the front end of the storm than during the peak. There’s going to Be many jealous posters on here most likely during Wednesday night. Not that 5-10 is bad at all lol. Just sayin
  3. Gfs is a joke. I live in philly you’d think I’d be happy. I’d rather it be the other way around. All I care about is the NAM within 36 hours and the euro. I look at other models for amusement.
  4. Yeah december 30 2000 in Washington DC lol. Though it was a different model back then
  5. I think it’s the bias of placing lows too far SE. idk why you guys are even worried tbh. I’d rather be in Boston than philly right now by a long shot.
  6. Black and white maps of cmc look even more intense with H5
  7. I mean not really, the euro crushed us at 18z with close to 15-20” . If you mean the Max zone then yeah
  8. Agreed. What a waste of a storm. Can’t even enjoy any good NAM runs, next!
  9. Impressively early. There’s just too much model agreement on the large scale features to not dO it.
  10. Where’s Ji with the JMA because it is the most south of any model looks like lol
  11. This is on a lot of guidance. Think it has to do with how the ULLs are being stacked. Looking like a less beefy 2016 here in Philly where we get some snow and then the deformation zone heads NW
  12. Yeah ukie barely has an inch in philly so you get the idea
  13. I’ll take that bet . GFS will most likely play catch up the entire event.
  14. How many times does the gfs do this in big storms. It’ll catch up with other models eventually. You guys are fine up there. Eps destroys the GFS with QPF at least down here in Philly. I’m probably headed to Allentown or something.
  15. Anyone in the far Burbs got a place I could come stay at and chase?!
  16. The Canadian and rgem have been steadfast on that.
  17. Yeah I know i was being sarcastic, and I’m in like 3 hour sleep. Will be interesting where the Max snowfall radius on the models moves. Curious if Boston does better than places like NE Pa when all is said and done. Lots of those tucked members are worrisome
  18. Ugh, I like New England, but you guys really gonna make me drive 7 hours again? Thanks aholes
  19. Man a lot of those EPS lows are way too tucked in for my liking. We need that trend to stop immediately
  20. Yep. Climo for the city will be like 6-10” then mix. Someone NW of the city will see 2 feet minimum. Two runs in a row the euro has this crazy pivot precip shield. Those are signs of the big ones. This is an interior Pa jackpot storm, but I hope I’m wrong and we see SE trend today.
  21. Down here in Philly this is looking more typical. A lot of these big ones we max out around 8-10” and then mix/dry slot. I really don’t want to chase, but once we get closer I might have to if some of these crazy totals continue being shown.
×
×
  • Create New...