Heisy

Big 50/50 type low on GFS at 150 hrs with a beautiful Block. It’s forcing the storm to continue to dig southward.

Icon gets real close with the follow up wave and looks very nice so far for the LR storm.

Jesus lol. Gotta wonder what the H5 charts looked like to allow something like that to occur.

I actually texted Ji on AIM the night of the December 30 event around like 3am. Don’t ask me why I remember this, but he was depressed at the fact that there were clear skies at DC. I was up all night watching the radar. Fell asleep thinking we were screwed. Of course I fell asleep right as it started.

I sometimes wonder what radar looked for certain events. 1888 comes to mind. Probably would have looked like a hurricane coming on shore.

Famartin has a nice winter storm archive but it’s just for NJ. Though it has all sorts of maps for a lot of storms since 94. http://www.raymondcmartinjr.com/weather/ here was 01’s H5 track. A really wacky capture.

Anyone know what happened to Arizwx? He was a classic for some reason I feel like he may have passed away, but not 100% sure. Where has Rob22 been? He was a phillY classic, I knew him in person in met school and lost touch.

Omg I have a post on that page you just linked...my original username is icez. I’m embarrassed to even read it lmao.

Feb 5 2001 was a nasty storm even down here. Went from heavy rain to a white out during rush hour. Kids stranded at schools and all sorts of accidents. Ranks up there with the heaviest snow I’ve ever seen.

You have no idea. I signed up on Wright weather and the weather channel forums (they were briefly a thing) in 2000. My first experience tracking was the dec 30 2000 storm, but 2001 will never be forgotten down here in philly. I didn’t look at weather models until the next year, but I remember reading it on the forums of how insane they were. I was 14 at the time, schools were cancelled for two days for no reason because the hype was so real and the AVN model kept showing snow and had done well during a few other storms during the season that some outlets, looking at you John Bolaris of NBc10, who still held onto 6-10 like the night before the main low (there were two Parts of that storm)... I remember joe bastardi’s crazy newsletter hyping it up, ji & nor’easter posting about it on wright weather, and unfortunately I remember the night the models suddenly swung northward. anyone remember gary grays website? This storm reminds me of reading his newsletter. I forget if that was his name. Man 2-3 days before the storm there was legit talks of 30-40” in philadelphia.

What a beautiful block towards the end of the run.

CMC ensembles agree with the OP, alright back to work!

12z JMA for ji of course. The LP doesn’t come from the best spot, but the signal is there. HP showing up in SE Canada is of course a big deal for us.

Yeah I’m not counting it out at this range. Just saying the idea for a crazy wrapped up ULL was most likely a bias coming into play. I’m really enthusiastic about the next few weeks.

144–Looks like euro is going to phase the northern piece too soon this run. There will be a storm though based on H5 but probably on the warmer side

Euro got rid of the follow up wave btw, caved once again to the other models. I said before when the euro is on an island you better hope other models jump on soon

12z euro has the ‘cmc’ wave out west at 132, question will be will the northern branch out race it to help solidify the Cold HP

Was just looking at 00z Eps and there is def a nice signal for a storm in this time frame. Pretty good pattern too with 50/50 low although a bit farther N....

Ukie with the same relative look at 144, though less confluence out ahead

Ukie at 144. Has same idea but would likely be warmer with less confluence than cmc has over SE Canada. That would be the big question if this shortwave is legit. As you can see though we have some minor blocking over Greenland which is pinching the cold air south over SE Canada, get that farther and it’s game on

Lol Ji got his wish. He can be happy for a day. 1-2 feet on the cmc.

Blizzard on the CMC (after the follow up event)...it’s the cmc though

12z cmc about to go loonie day 7-9...1040hp sitting on top...

Maybe it’s the season of energy left behind? New England’s storm over the weekend originated from energy left behind that then rotated and phased. Usually when the euro is by itself for a run or two you usually see other models jump onto the idea, if not they usually cave, but you never know....

We’ve talked about this over in philly forum..little vort swinging down from SE Canada...one of those festive snow shower events maybe