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Heisy

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Everything posted by Heisy

  1. Heisy
    Yeah but confluence was worst ironically. Kind of worried if the gfs didn’t string it out would have tracked farther NW. If that idea holds might not bode well
  2. Heisy
    Yeah we have a good shot for sure, but gun to my head id rather be like NW NJ or poconos right now.
  3. Heisy
    Yeah I think we got our best shot in 2 years for 6+, but we’ll see...all of a sudden Monday is trending snowier and snowier even maybe into the city as well.
  4. Heisy
    My kind of weenie. I’m already trying to figure out a way to get out of work midweek if I have to travel to poconos from Philly or something
  5. Heisy
    Well I think it’s also the timing of the northern branch too
  6. Heisy
    It’s wrong for the city. Maybe some snow in the normal elevated burbs, butbIt’s showing snow with temps above freezing at 925 etc
  7. Heisy
    50/50 didn’t seem as strong as 12z on the 18z euro & and eps, but the main shortwave was slightly more positively tilted
  8. Heisy
    It’s all downhill from here on that run lmao
  9. Heisy
    Yeah that’s amateur stuff, but we all gotta admit when we first got hooked on this hobby we did the same thing lol.
  10. Heisy
    I’d prefer not to have to chase this one, but if there’s a foot forecasted in less than a 7 hour drive count me in.
  11. Heisy
    Idk about you guys, but I enjoy the tracking and model watching sometimes even more than the damn events themselves. So yeah, I’m already set for 12z
  12. Heisy
    Stormvistas snowmap way less since it’s probably more realistic with temps, but well see could trend better
  13. Heisy
    18z EPS looks real nice at H5 @ 144 fwiw
  14. Heisy
    You can still get thumps, but I agree for major snows that is where you want it with hybrids.
  15. Heisy
    Dave what do you think about this first storm for early week sneaking up on a few people? Cold air an issue, but maybe people on the fringe of the precip could do well.
  16. Heisy
    We saw how the last NE storm trended... more and more energy was held back and phasing occurred...this is a possibility here as well. Icon, while warm, has been steadfast in showing a quick hitting storm....rgem 18z out of its range but at 84 looked really juicy. It does look like the mean is being a bit skewed by a few members though
  17. Heisy
    18z icon looked jacked up at 120 hrs hotdog.jpg
  18. Heisy
    Stormvista was too and it’s similar to weatherbell fwiw
  19. Heisy
    Yeah true, still if I only have to chase to the poconos that’s fine by me haha...regardless 6z Eps best run of the winter on a pure threat basis so far
  20. Heisy
    Haha I want to go back to my original username, icez, but I forget how to change usernames. 6z Eps should be interesting with those changes at H5
  21. Heisy
    At 90 hours there’s almost a phase on the 6z euro while the 00z euro had the 2 branches well apart. 12z could be very interesting if this trend continues. I’m a bit low confidence on cold air being available for coastal plain on the mid week storm, but the end of the week storm different story maybe.
  22. Heisy
    6z euro at 90 hours is more robust with that follow up event. It is also diving the northern branch farther south which could end up phasing. Imo the stronger this first event trends the better cold air in place for the day 7 event.
  23. Heisy
    Yeah on a OP model 7 days out...we have a block and a potential 50/50. This is the best setup of the season so far. It actually has the ingredients. It could end up rain, but I think it trends colder and farther south right now. Could be dead wrong but we’ll see. Regardless, first legit winter storm to track imo.
  24. Heisy
    You also get the 6z 18z euro which pivotal doesn’t have yet. I love stormvistas interface for some reason. Images load faster etc
  25. Heisy
    I believe with the block and the 50/50 low this storm will trend farther south as we move closer. Aka it will be colder. Think this is the first philly to Boston storm of the year. Well see
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