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Heisy

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Everything posted by Heisy

  1. 6z eps is a little better. Still nothing like GEFS but certainly an improvement
  2. 6z vs 00z euro comparison fwiw , gif should work lmk if it isn’t.
  3. I kind of agree with the sentiment that we’ll see a meet in the middle type deal. If I can storm chase to you guys that would be awesome though!
  4. Yeah which is why I said I hate that model haha, it likes to torture us...I’ll take it more serious under 72 hours.
  5. It’s funny too because the Ukie has been super amped all winter. Few weeks ago at this range it kept showing a hit on an event that was out to sea. Of course this event it’s out to sea. Made it to midnight night as well wait for the euro.
  6. I agree. It’s been crap this year. When gfs picks up a signal like this it is usually a good sign.
  7. After the gfs and cmc the Ukie does this, really? Lol I hate that model sometimes
  8. Haha common these are the nights we wait all summer for. The cmc being this good tells me this is legit. Let’s take it on the chin and see what euro does. If Ukie comes north I’m all in.
  9. I’m not sure how much that lobe effects things. It’s kind of cutoff from the flow. It’s more the 50/50 in my eyes. I mean we saw the cmc earlier which had that ULL sitting even farther S and it was better. Idk though
  10. Oh no not another AO block, make it stop, the humanity!
  11. This is gonna be a 2-4” front end for city with sleet, freezing drizzle/rain and back to snow showers. That would be my bet
  12. Totally agree. It also has some support with icon, cmc so it’s not totallY on an island. Good Points though it’s like a Miller A/B
  13. It’s the surface, it’s torched early on (talking for S DE), not that I’d trust gfs thermals ever
  14. Thermals playing a role over in S DE I assume? Because they got a lot more qpf than that. Looks like the old 33 and snow. I wish we had the para to see if it was supporting this or not. Idk fun to see, but hard to believe.
  15. Wish I could get excited...hard to without eps on board
  16. Gfs looks decent so far thru 105. Not enough changes that tell me it’ll back off from 12z run. Well see
  17. Yea it does look like the low is sheared out though guess that’s why it came to mind. I remember that being a complete dc and burbs type system until like the day of. The AM models started to show that precip into Philly. Was quite the surprise here
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