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Heisy

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Everything posted by Heisy

  1. Heisy
    This event reminds me of a warmer version of December 2013 (eagles lions game). I can’t find H5 maps for it but for some reason I feel like that was a sheered out shortwave too that took advantage of temp gradient and the fronto overachieved up here in Philly. Anyone have maps from that one curious if I’m just imagining things.
  2. Heisy
    I cant see the euro being like the gfs or cmc from what im seeing so far through 117, it sped up the wave idk if itll have any room
  3. Heisy
    Let me also add that the UKIE has been atrocious at this range this year it seems. I probably wouldnt have said that if it showed a hit though, LOL
  4. Heisy
    Of course the ukie got worst. lol. Once again, TPV placement way different
  5. Heisy
    check out day 9-10, theres always the next one
  6. Heisy
    the tpv placement on the cmc allows for it to phase once offshore, this actually has effects on the pattern post the event. CMC has a great setup at the end of its run because of this. It has another snow event on the 1st
  7. Heisy
    Yeah the positive tilt of annoyance. So close to a MECS
  8. Heisy
    Note, like I said gfs and cmc differ on placement of tpv.
  9. Heisy
  10. Heisy
    trying to post cmc pics, but its a big hit
  11. Heisy
    CMC and GFS differ greatly on placement of that little tpv lobe in canada fwiw.
  12. Heisy
    whoa
  13. Heisy
    This looks pretty good
  14. Heisy
    gfs might be better than its 6z run,. better heights ahead, of course it slowed down the first system so that might have an effect too, well see
  15. Heisy
    Id also love for the energy behind the 28th system to slow down. Let there be better ridging behind the system. It's in a sparse sampling region so hopefully that trends favorably as well.
  16. Heisy
    mentioned this yesterday, latitude latitude latitude, other factors of course, but good start on Icon. I have little hope here in philly, but would love to be able to chase to VA
  17. Heisy
    On a serious note with the 50/50 location and the ridge being in an iffy spot want this shortwave to have as much latitude as possible as it tracks east. This way even if it bombs on the coast and heads east quickly it would be able to throw back moisture. What’s also allowed this to come nw a bit is that tpv in Canada shifting NW. The euro and gfs did this today, but cmc kept it too Far East. This one has good potential though. Well see
  18. Heisy
    I never thought I’d have to storm chase to friggin Dave Tolerris’a house this year. Gotta do what ya gotta do sometimes
  19. Heisy
    If we can get that ridge behind the 28th event slightly west we’re in business. If it can just neg tilt a little bit there should be some good precip nw of the shortwave, there’s a lot of ridging in front of it too but the hp saves us.
  20. Heisy
    Haha every time a model spits out decent snow it doesn’t have to be compared to 96 fellas....was 79 pd1 I’m blanking out. Was it that small angry small closed off ULL that crushed dc? If so yeah it has more similarities to that.
  21. Heisy
    Gfs also shifted that Tpv westward in Canada. Ukie Looked decent at 144
  22. Heisy
    6z euro vs 00z. Looks like a touch more ridging & a slightly stronger main wave
  23. Heisy
    I’m a painter but I say screw it. I end up refreshing the gfs and euro after every roll and brush stroke.
  24. Heisy
    The isobars are more sheared out around the L and you can see the secondary forming quicker, but idk if that’s a product of a faster shortwave or not. There does seem to be less HP wedging into Ne though.
  25. Heisy
    This run was a lot different in SE Canada vs 00z
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