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rjvanals

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Everything posted by rjvanals

  1. rjvanals
    NAM brings us a minor ice storm Saturday night
  2. rjvanals
    Euro gets snow into Southern MD for Sunday morning
  3. rjvanals
    What did the models miss earlier this week that has degraded our good look for next week?
  4. rjvanals
    One common theme is not much precip over us either way over the next 15 days
  5. rjvanals
    Yeah rain in International Falls MN isn't a great sign for us
  6. rjvanals
    This weekend still has potential for a light event
  7. rjvanals
    Tomorrow night does look interesting imo with the potential of some pretty robust squalls
  8. rjvanals
    NAMs lose the signal for tonight
  9. rjvanals
    Quite a bit more support on the 18z EPS for a bit of snow but its still a longshot
  10. rjvanals
    NAM brings us snow tonight
  11. rjvanals
    Looking at the EPS there's quite a spread in temps starting Sunday and if you squint perhaps a remote chance of light snow over the weekend?
  12. rjvanals
    Prettty disappointing turn of events although rug pulls are what we specialize in around here
  13. rjvanals
    Euro gives DC a dusting overnight
  14. rjvanals
    How's the upcoming "dream pattern" looking?
  15. rjvanals
    Having chased a lot in Oswego County while at Syracuse I strongly recommend you stay off I-81 through Oswego County and take Rt. 11 instead. I-81 can get blocked by stuck trucks in heavy snow conditions and the exits are FAR apart so you won’t be able to turn around. Rt. 11 will be passable with any decent SUV regardless of how hard it’s snowing
  16. rjvanals
    Let’s see how active this place is in a week after no threats materialize or are on the horizon in this upcoming “dream pattern”
  17. rjvanals
    Wonder if we can get on the board for January w the front Thursday/Friday next week
  18. rjvanals
    Hoping to see the sleet line race north to the Tappan Zee bridge tonight
  19. rjvanals
    Sleet is kinda fun and sticks around. Freezing Rain sucks
  20. rjvanals
    GFS w snow next Monday
  21. rjvanals
    One thing I’ve noticed anecdotally is winters where Syracuse has a lot of early snow compared to Buffalo turn out to be decent in the DMV due to a predominantly NW flow that hits Syracuse while building up a snowpack in Canada vs winters that dump on Buffalo have a SW flow and have a ice free Lake Erie. So far this winter Syracuse has 39” while Buffalo has 17” which if my theory is correct is a good sign for the rest of our winter. https://goldensnowball.com
  22. rjvanals
    Mesos did a great job delaying the cold air at the surface which was one of the limiting factors (and poor snow growth at least imby). 1 more hour of snow below freezing everyone would’ve been happy
  23. rjvanals
    1.3” here. Lost about 90 minutes of qpf due to warm surface temps and then had poor snow growth the rest of the storm
  24. rjvanals
    Not surprised w the graupel type snow I’m seeing
  25. rjvanals
    There’s gotta be some thin warm layer above the surface as I’m getting styrofoam or graupel type snowflakes no dendrites
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