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rjvanals

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Everything posted by rjvanals

  1. The GFS not being excited about it makes me more optimistic
  2. not quite a shutout as we got a trace or .1 early morning on New Years Day but this month has been an epic disaster considering the hype and the phantom GFS blizzards torturing us each time
  3. An impressive showing from the GFS this week, going 0–2 within 100 hours of the phantom storm’s onset. Forecasting confidence remains high; accuracy optional.
  4. The GFS has been on a heater with digital snow recently
  5. I'm at the grocery store stocking up for tomorrow's GFS blizzard
  6. RGEM gives us some white rain on Saturday
  7. We've been extremely unlucky and several near misses have been caused by having to strong of a cold push. We've also missed the timing for phasing to get a big storm by a few hours like last February. As long as areas to our south are having historic snowstorms its clear we're not doomed due to a lack of cold (Last winter New Orleans and North Florida had nearly 10 inches of snow)
  8. The model performance on this was laughably bad. Take a look at todays 12z Euro vs yesterday at 12z. Totally different world
  9. 12z Euro AI gave us snow next weekend curious what this will bring
  10. It’s good to remember we do complicated setups for snow extremely well around here
  11. We all know the GFS “storm” is wrong and this place will be hopping later this week
  12. Monday morning has a non zero chance of a stat padder for the northern crew
  13. I'm catching up on my sleep now since next week looks amazing in this "dream pattern"
  14. GEFS is close enough to something to stay interested especially SE of DC
  15. Still a bit interesting especially since we have nothing else on the immediate horizon
  16. Euro is back to giving us a dusting Saturday night
  17. Not sure Saturday is completely dead for a small event even if its on life support
  18. That was a pretty awesome squall especially w the roar of the wind above us
  19. Let’s see if it makes it to me after I was woken up by the alert. I have my doubts
  20. Low new Hudson Bay moves west enough for the precip to reach us
  21. Yeah the roof issues often would be the result of a heavy lake snowstorm followed by a rain event. The lake snow is typically so fluffy it doesn’t weigh a ton but rain followed by a flash freeze would cause issues
  22. Snow when I went to Syracuse wasn’t nearly as much fun as snow down here. With snow being rare down here every event is special. In places like Syracuse several inches of snow is just par for the course and life goes on normally. I’m as big a snow lover as you’ll find (one of the reasons I went to Syracuse) but by March I wasn’t rooting for snow anymore and was ready for spring.
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