rjvanals
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Everything posted by rjvanals
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They’ve actually juiced up but were a degree or two to warm and we waste a lot to rain
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NAMs are warm
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.25" here this morning with streets briefly caving
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Euro gives DC nearly an inch tonight let's see if its right (although it might be sleet looking at soundings)
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GFS wants to bring us some snow tv tomorrow midday
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the heavy rates will cool the column
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The GFS not being excited about it makes me more optimistic
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not quite a shutout as we got a trace or .1 early morning on New Years Day but this month has been an epic disaster considering the hype and the phantom GFS blizzards torturing us each time
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An impressive showing from the GFS this week, going 0–2 within 100 hours of the phantom storm’s onset. Forecasting confidence remains high; accuracy optional.
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The GFS has been on a heater with digital snow recently
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I'm at the grocery store stocking up for tomorrow's GFS blizzard
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RGEM gives us some white rain on Saturday
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We've been extremely unlucky and several near misses have been caused by having to strong of a cold push. We've also missed the timing for phasing to get a big storm by a few hours like last February. As long as areas to our south are having historic snowstorms its clear we're not doomed due to a lack of cold (Last winter New Orleans and North Florida had nearly 10 inches of snow)
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The model performance on this was laughably bad. Take a look at todays 12z Euro vs yesterday at 12z. Totally different world
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12z Euro AI gave us snow next weekend curious what this will bring
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Those always work well around here
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It’s good to remember we do complicated setups for snow extremely well around here
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We all know the GFS “storm” is wrong and this place will be hopping later this week
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Monday morning has a non zero chance of a stat padder for the northern crew
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I'm catching up on my sleep now since next week looks amazing in this "dream pattern"
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GEFS is close enough to something to stay interested especially SE of DC
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Still a bit interesting especially since we have nothing else on the immediate horizon
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Euro is back to giving us a dusting Saturday night
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Not sure Saturday is completely dead for a small event even if its on life support
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12/31-1/1 Possible Snow Showers/Squalls to Start 2026
rjvanals replied to bncho's topic in Mid Atlantic
That was a pretty awesome squall especially w the roar of the wind above us
