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rjvanals

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Everything posted by rjvanals

  1. NAMs don’t look great unfortunately if your looking for a boom scenario
  2. We need to take advantage of the clear skies for temps and avoid LWX suddenly upgrading us to a warning before the event as that’s usually the kiss of death.
  3. GFS is about to be 0-4 in predicting major snowstorms for DC this winter
  4. 6z Euro would give most of us low end warning level snow coming mostly from the IVT
  5. Shocked LWX doesn’t have Winter Storm Watches out for the entire CWA at this point
  6. RGEM again gives a narrow area a big snow from the IVT and is pretty meager outside that band
  7. This is a tough forecast especially for the western suburbs of DC which may be to warm for the coastal snow and may be to far west for much snow from the IVT.
  8. The run is fine but we have a torched surface and are on the western edge of the IVT. Super high bust potential
  9. I could definitely see that happening. I still have a strong feeling this storm could end up being a total rug pull.
  10. The airlines clearly don't believe the GFS or NAM since they haven't offered to waive change fees yet for east coast destinations
  11. It's a very good run if you keep expectations in check and realize the GFS is having ChatGPT like hallucinations for snow totals
  12. Its got a 993L in a PERFECT spot for us but not sure if the heaviest precip makes it to the i95 corridor
  13. NAM does have snow here at 54 but not sure if the storm ends up coming together
  14. The GFS is a embarrassment to this country
  15. 12z Euro ensembles are a bit east but most give us some snow but no real high end potential
  16. An IVT working out in the metro area is as likely as the Nats winning the WS this year
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