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rjvanals

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Everything posted by rjvanals

  1. rjvanals
    I’m thinking something similar to the 2/7/21 storm last year. Had a warm day prior and it was a bit slower to flip than modeled with inside the beltway underperforming a bit.
  2. rjvanals
    The Euro on Pivotal is showing Sleet on the graphics but looking at the Euro soundings at 7 am it should either be Rain or Snow since there's no warm layer except at the surface. This may be why the snow map is lower than earlier.
  3. rjvanals
    18z Euro isn’t a fan of Snow in DC
  4. rjvanals
    I approve of the NAM
  5. rjvanals
    The low is 500 miles west of 12z last night. Definitely worth watching.
  6. rjvanals
    If we hadn’t been chasing this for a week most would be happy. Also does show a signal for some wraparound snow on this run
  7. rjvanals
    Low on the Euro is at least just east of DC this run; maybe some backside snow?
  8. rjvanals
    If you like snowpack you'd want some sleet with the Euro as progged since DC spikes into mid 40's as the Low passes over
  9. rjvanals
    It's a unusual progression from the mouth of the Chesapeake to DC from 81-84
  10. rjvanals
    Goes over Chesapeake beach at 90
  11. rjvanals
    Better front end for DC at 87 L is just west of Richmond
  12. rjvanals
    I've thought the same thing for a while this reminds me of that storm. Maybe we do a bit better front end but that was still a fun strom.
  13. rjvanals
    This run really torches us in the DC metro. Would still be a few fun hours Sunday evening.
  14. rjvanals
    Euro takes DC from 28f at 7pm to 47f at 4 AM
  15. rjvanals
    Snow approaching DC at 93 with 999 L over the Smokies
  16. rjvanals
    Low looks to be headed towards Winchester this run
  17. rjvanals
    I prefer the 12z to the 18z; both have roughly the same snow but 18z has more rain over the corridor
  18. rjvanals
    Low heads to HGR higher totals south of DC are largely due to a deathband this run has
  19. rjvanals
    Faster this run but low still goes over DC
  20. rjvanals
    GFS has onset ~1pm for DC, Euro ~6pm for DC
  21. rjvanals
    Looks like about .7-.8qpf of snow in a ~6 hr thump
  22. rjvanals
    I've resigned myself to some rain but would like the low a bit further east to keep from torching into the low 40's. This is a great run if your looking to ski at Whitetail on Monday.
  23. rjvanals
    Looks like .3-.4 of rain with temps spiking to low 40's at DCA
  24. rjvanals
    A low going from Raleigh to near Norfolk to DC would be unusual
  25. rjvanals
    Yeah my 4 years at Cuse were pretty solid snowfall wise but I would still complain when we missed lol 2003-2004 181.3 2004-2005 136.2 2005-2006 124.6 2006-2007 140.2
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