rjvanals

Yeah it’s I-95 and west special puts more credence to the RGEM idea

GFS gets snow close to DC on Wed

Yeah it eventually gets here but it’s been slowing down each run and we don’t usually do well w cold chasing precip

The cold air keeps getting slightly delayed each run if you toggle back which should be a bit of concern along i95

Judging by snow maps Euro doesn't have anything for us through next weekend after Sunday's storm outerbanks looks snowy though

GEFS ensembles look good

No concern about the Canadian?

HRRR gives us a solid dusting this evening

EPS has DC with 75% chance of 1"+ and 20% with 3" +

The Euro at 138 has Freezing Rain down to the Villages in Florida. That probably won't be right

The normally amped NAM has nothing which is a bit of a red flag

It’s better than the Canadian for DC

RGEM looks a bit warm at the onset along I-95

Looks prettier on Pivotal 3-5"

NAM long range isn’t promising for Sunday

Have a nice car topper here in Potomac

Some flurries in Potomac

GFS has the bowling ball back off SOCAL

I got to 46 in Potomac so not surprised by DCA reading

Canadian has been performing best recently imo did well on the Monday system and was showing a modest hit for last night in the mid range

Canadian system looks like snow to a mix S/E of 95

1/3-.75” 1/6- 8.25” 1/11- 2” Season: 11”

Tougher to track the snow progress via webcams since we actually have snowcover going into a storm

It's a bit of a myth most places up north never close for snow. The reason is these areas are more rural where snow is easier to manage because there are fewer roads to clear. In urban areas like Syracuse, despite being used to receiving heavy snow, clearing roads is just harder due to higher traffic, narrower streets, and hilly terrain. As a result, schools do close in the Syracuse metro area if it's still snowing and they've received more than ~6" while places north of there are open despite getting a heavier snowfall.

RGEM has been getting slightly wetter each run and ICON would support 1 to MAYBE 2 inches across the area