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rjvanals

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Everything posted by rjvanals

  1. rjvanals
    10-11th is close to be being real good for us and it’s good to see a storm is showing up at this long range
  2. rjvanals
    Let’s see if the GFS can get us something on the 10th
  3. rjvanals
    Canadian is a long duration event which is good
  4. rjvanals
    The problem is at hr 87 we get a coastal low developing ~100 miles SW of where it was progged at hr 105 on the great Euro last night. This leads the low to be spinning on the southwest side of Newfoundland at hr 126 when the storm is approaching us vs the Northeast side like we saw last night at hr 144 which creates enough confluence to push the best snow ~100 miles south of what was shown last night
  5. rjvanals
    GFS shows a 1pm temp of 8 at DCA on the 11th I’ll take the over
  6. rjvanals
    Gets Atlanta close to zero in the LR with some serious cold across the country
  7. rjvanals
    I'll take this run let's see if can set something up behind it
  8. rjvanals
    Boundary layer is torched so more snow tv
  9. rjvanals
    UKIE is good looking on Pivotal
  10. rjvanals
    I’m down on this system since if we get any snow it’ll help push the confluence to far south screwing up both much higher upside chances next week
  11. rjvanals
    We're not going to have a good handle of next week until we see what happens with the Friday system. I'd like to see that form way offshore and then take my chances with next week
  12. rjvanals
    Looking at the 500 charts the Friday system organizes closer to shore on both the CMC/GFS compared to the EURO/ICON which then helps push the confluence further south on Monday screwing it up
  13. rjvanals
    CMC loses its punch at our doorstep
  14. rjvanals
    The little disturbance that could give us a coating of snow on Friday gets a bit to strong offshore and helps shred the Monday system
  15. rjvanals
    I'll take it
  16. rjvanals
    GFS gives us some snow Friday night
  17. rjvanals
    ICON looks solid
  18. rjvanals
    10 inches at DCA
  19. rjvanals
    euro looks solid
  20. rjvanals
    GEFS does show a bit of a signal for this
  21. rjvanals
    GEFS ensembles don’t show any real OV low signal anymore for 1/6
  22. rjvanals
    Any solution showing 4 inches of snow in New Orleans and accumulating snow in Tallahassee for 1/9 shouldn’t be viewed as a likely outcome
  23. rjvanals
    GFS having snow in the Gulf of Mexico probably means it’s out to lunch
  24. rjvanals
    Yeah I’m mentally preparing myself for the disappointment of screwing up a bad pattern
  25. rjvanals
    It’s going to suck in a week when we have no snow and none on the horizon due to suppression
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