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rjvanals

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Everything posted by rjvanals

  1. I've thought the same thing for a while this reminds me of that storm. Maybe we do a bit better front end but that was still a fun strom.
  2. This run really torches us in the DC metro. Would still be a few fun hours Sunday evening.
  3. Euro takes DC from 28f at 7pm to 47f at 4 AM
  4. Snow approaching DC at 93 with 999 L over the Smokies
  5. Low looks to be headed towards Winchester this run
  6. I prefer the 12z to the 18z; both have roughly the same snow but 18z has more rain over the corridor
  7. Low heads to HGR higher totals south of DC are largely due to a deathband this run has
  8. Faster this run but low still goes over DC
  9. GFS has onset ~1pm for DC, Euro ~6pm for DC
  10. Looks like about .7-.8qpf of snow in a ~6 hr thump
  11. I've resigned myself to some rain but would like the low a bit further east to keep from torching into the low 40's. This is a great run if your looking to ski at Whitetail on Monday.
  12. Looks like .3-.4 of rain with temps spiking to low 40's at DCA
  13. A low going from Raleigh to near Norfolk to DC would be unusual
  14. Yeah my 4 years at Cuse were pretty solid snowfall wise but I would still complain when we missed lol 2003-2004 181.3 2004-2005 136.2 2005-2006 124.6 2006-2007 140.2
  15. That storm was well forecasted a few days out on the local news in Syracuse. If I remember correctly initially the thought was more towards Oswego/Jefferson County line would be the bullseye but it turned out to be Parish/Pulaski in the central part of Oswego County. Great storm.
  16. Yeah was a Senior at Syracuse at the time. Chased the event and got some good photos w the weather channel crew in Parish. Was a bit depressing heading back down to campus 25 miles south of the storm and bare ground since the prevailing winds were W and you needed a WNW to get hit in Syracuse.
  17. May have been up in Oswego County. Had one close to 80" in 2004 near Fulton/Oswego and close to 100" from a storm near Parish/Pulaski in 2007
  18. Yeah this exactly having gone to school at Syracuse and experiencing a bit of lake effect
  19. 3.5" here in Potomac so far; band on top of me is similar to a Lake Snow band with high ratio dendrites
  20. Looking downstream still no snow on the Wintergreen cams at ~3500 ft despite echos overhead
  21. Jackpot over Manchester so it’s prob right
  22. 18z GFS would make everyone happy
  23. GFS is still faster than other guidance but more of a 3-5” across metro area
  24. Some of the previous runs had a more immediate burst of moderate precip in the DC area to start while on the 12z NAMs it had a bit of light precip to start. DPs are still low and 12z RGEM does look better for DC area north.
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