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frostfern

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Everything posted by frostfern

  1. CC drop. Tornado warning up finally.
  2. That cluster is starting to rotate. Maybe we need a severe thread for this afternoon? Edit: Surprised this cell isn’t severe warned yet.
  3. The first half of next week looks interesting with a strong north-displaced zonal flow. That’s the best pattern for getting steep mid-level lapse rates up into the Great Lakes.
  4. Badly in need of a road wash. Looking grimy out here.
  5. Yes, but April concrete slop sucks. I’ll take the moisture, but its not the same as a deep winter storm.
  6. I just don’t want a complete miss south stank on the upcoming rain and warmth.
  7. I already forgot November. So long ago. Not even meteorological winter.
  8. December, yea. You know CAD doesn’t count. You have to be trolling.
  9. First time seeing thunderheads on the horizon this year. Nice little cell S of Lansing.
  10. I can see towering clouds on the far SE horizon. It’s been a while since I’ve seen thunderheads on the horizon. A nice little echo S of Lansing.
  11. You don’t even need 60+ dews this time of year.
  12. January was wet, but the long term recovery isn’t complete. My pond is coming back some now with the snowmelt but it’s still low.
  13. Local water levels are REALLY low here even with some snow melt now. I have former ponds in my area that are now meadows.
  14. Lots of 1-2” snowfalls consisting entirely of dendrite aggregates seems to inflate totals because of extremely low water content. It counts, but it really doesn’t feel like as much as the numbers indicate.
  15. It’s been a good year for lake enhanced clippers. Just not any big 24 hour totals outside the prime like effect zones.
  16. When it’s mild there isn’t enough instability to generate showers so the moisture from the lakes just sits in a uniform layer doing nothing. In a cold lake effect pattern there’s usually sunbreaks between bands and when the wind shifts less onshore. Also, the small bit of Pacific moisture aloft makes it harder for the stratus to evaporate from the top like it can with a bone dry arctic airmass above it. This is my explanation.
  17. How is a random stranger to know? As for toughness, how would you know? You run away from the cold.
  18. My parents are in the northwest part of the country and the nightly Papagayo wind storms have been relentless and strong enough to take down trees. It’s a weird regional gusty wind that peaks at night.
  19. You mean Beavis? Almost as sick that one member that enjoying heat waves and complains about thunderstorms knocking down afternoon highs. That’s just demented.
  20. By that time I will be hoping for winter to be over.
  21. For 2026 IMBY, holy sh*t YES. Lake Enhanced Clippers are back in force after being oddly missing in action the last few years. Its not that I wouldn’t prefer some sharing of wealth on the synoptic scale.
  22. There were some serious convective squalls this morning. Big dry spaces between bands, but very heavy when you’re under one.
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