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frostfern

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Everything posted by frostfern

  1. The problem is more not having much to look forward to in this pattern. Especially anyone not in a lake belt. I’d rather be teased by a phantom storm in the long range than see absolutely nothing.
  2. Somewhere near Rockford unofficially got down to -25. Big Rapids got down to -27. Cadillac -31. It seems the small amounts of fog and moisture that hung out in lower areas held temps a little higher. Urban heat island might have affected things too. More exhaust moisture maybe.
  3. I feel like it could have gotten colder without pesky moisture hanging around and clouds moving overhead in the morning. There’s a surprising amount of terrain effects too as it’s not totally flat here. Places just a couple hundred feet higher had much lower dewpoints and fell way down into the mid -20s.
  4. GRR is sitting at -16. Daily record is -20. All time is -24. There’s some -20s showing up in more rural areas nearby though. It seems like higher dewpoints are holding temperatures higher some places. It’s hard to get extreme lows here in West Michigan as normally westerly flow off the lake doesn’t diminish until the coldest core of 850 temps has passed. This is kind of a rare setup where the 850 cold pool is stalling directly overhead with light winds.
  5. Big Rapids is already down to -20 at midnight. MBY is -15 with 8 more hours of darkness. Only high clouds could screw it up.
  6. So you would be happy with 3 one inch dusters in December followed by two months of arctic CAD and maybe a duster or two to offset sublimation? Just keep a steady 3 inches with zero melting. Stay below 15F so no melting on roads or dirty looking snow.
  7. What’s crazy is they did go through the effort to slightly change the shape and location of the overly large blob each time.
  8. It’s the type of weather to be on the lookout for optical phenomenon you normally only see out the airplane window.
  9. You only need about 3” to cover most grass blades and be in “looks like winter” territory.
  10. Grand Rapids be like…. Me: The snow sure is pretty! Normie:
  11. It’s been like another 4” of fluff every 24 hours here and too cold for salt to work most of the time. Having a longer commute and always having to scrape the car is wearing on people. I honestly would prefer to get snow all in one big dog event followed by blue sky compared to this. This is still more fun than boring and gray.
  12. People are complaining like crazy here in Grand Rapids. Don’t know why snow haters live here.
  13. El niño is coming back. Not sure this has to do with it but pfffffft.
  14. Well, I have relatives in SW Missouri and they will get slammed. Unless it ends up even farther south. A real synoptic storm would be nice at some point, but I’ve done well with the lake enhaced clipper train this past week. A fresh 4” every 24 hours, even more to the north and west. Likely breaking a foot of depth before it’s all over (though drifting always cuts down a little on the depth at GRR proper)
  15. Good depth junkie pattern for the west coast of Michigan. I have never seen normies b*tching this much though.
  16. Nice thunderstorm for January. Last snowbanks have melted.
  17. I need to bank on warmer spring months to offset boring thunderless summers lately.
  18. “A little bit of snow” is really common IMBY. Lots of minor lake effect dusters. People who don’t know how to drive on snow really shouldn’t live here. Very typical winter pattern right now.
  19. Sad. So long as snow is gone the warmer the better as far as I’m concerned. Really, anything is better than upper 30s / low 40s turd weather.
  20. A true big dog should have at least a small 16”+ jackpot, and 12”+ in a good chunk of backyards. Many times the jackpot will be dismissed if it isn’t over Chicago or Detroit though.
  21. I think I will still have snow *banks* even if grass is mostly visible. Also got a pile around 20’ tall at the local mall. Got to plow that sucker for the people doing donuts every Saturday night.
  22. Yea. I just don’t remember those storms as I was living in Seattle part of the time and missed them. GHDI was better here in GRR (though still a little short of the forecast with 15” verified as opposed 18” forecast) while GHDII was more concentrated along I-94 with lighter totals north (8-12”).
  23. He’s still wrong though. GHDI was on the heels of prolonged cold. Maybe that one wasn’t so good for SE Michigan, but the problem wasn’t too much cold.
  24. Yep. The only exception I can think of is one of those late season stalled fronts where it’s shorts weather to the south and waves of snow a couple hundred miles north. It isn’t the right time of year for that. It’s late Feb through early April for that kind of setup. Mid-winter big dogs need that arctic air nearby, usually to the NW.
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