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frostfern

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Everything posted by frostfern

  1. These polar jet breakups that drive cool polar air down to latitudes where it is unseasonably have become more common if anything. We had that big Texas freeze a few years back. Just recently New Orleans had a significant snowfall.
  2. Lake Michigan can produce dumps well into February, though more synoptic forcing becomes necessary the later you go it seems. Lake Eerie OTOH typically shuts down after any prolonged cold.
  3. Too early for me. 50s at night is great, but not even reaching 70 in the middle of the afternoon is a bit much. Plus lake effect clouds.
  4. I’d love to post more meteorological stuff, but I can’t afford the paywalls. I miss university times. Not being at my laptop most of the time also makes posting graphics more of a pain. I’m really not good with the phone. There is a double standard regarding winter and snow as everyone bitches and moans about Cold And Dry or rainy slop.
  5. I think plenty of things I don’t say. I’m not a bully so I just leave it. Not everyone has the same interests. I like storms and I also like greenness, so lack of rain bums me out. Having to water my plants constantly is also frustrating. I know most people don’t care and don’t have a drought where they live. Just don’t read what you aren’t interested in. If one person can commiserate it’s worth it to me and the rest can just skip past and enjoy themselves. What’s the point in stirring drama?
  6. Who said nelson isn’t free? I don’t think anyone should be banned if they are live and let live and don’t start drama. Everyone has different passions. I don’t care about heat so I just scroll past Spartsman complaining about not hitting 90 enough. Who cares. Why does the whole internet need to turn into f***ing reddit with gatekeeping?
  7. I ignore this forum for long periods when nothing of interest is happening so be happy. Starting drama for no reason is what is really boring.
  8. You are annoying. Just scroll the fuck past if you don’t want to read asshole. I don’t read half the shit posted here. Why don’t you post something?
  9. My micro-climate is now Mediterranean from mid-June to mid-August. Summer dry season due to lake shadow. Green grass isn’t a thing in this time period now. It never used to be so prominent, but lack of good forcing means geography dominates everything.
  10. Worst climo trend continues. Man f*** West Michigan.
  11. Would be nice if not ALL the heavy rain misses to my SW.
  12. The 90 day total is still low IMBY. 0.67” Tuesday was not a drought ender here. It’s going to take another 2 inches plus cooler weather to get things green again.
  13. I picked up .18 in the AM and .47 in the PM so far for a total of .67. Areas just a little north and west are probably closer to 2 inches. Quite a bit of rain-free CGs from the tail end of the cell cluster passing to my NW. Extremely low dark blue-greenish scuddy cloud bases as well. Sad I didn’t have a chance to film anything.
  14. The heaviest rain is missing just 2-3 miles NW but it’s been a great loud CG show IMBY. Doesn’t seem like drought buster though unless it backbuilds some more fills in farther SW which seems unlikely.
  15. Nearby cell is bombing CGs. Line needs to fill in a little extending SW for good rain coverage though.
  16. It’s still brown as hell here in the ever present lake shadow. I don’t need a severe storm. ANY storm will do. It does seem that severe setups are the best for getting storms to survive Lake Michigan and provide rain. Garden variety popups and weakly forced MCSs just love to avoid this area. As for winter, even those have been boring and dry lately. Lake effect is a nuisance when it only comes 2-3”at a time.
  17. Someone please pray it actually rains good IMBY some time in the next 36 hours. Most frustrating summer ever.
  18. Before going to bed I was expecting to see 10”+ amounts somewhere given that MCS sitting stationary for hours. Meanwhile this side of the lake dry as a bone as usual. Glad you got home safely. I had a somewhat similar experience driving home from a severe event on Aug 24-25 2023. Then it was snapped trees across the freeway backing up traffic. Nothing like a 45 minute drive turning into a 2.5 hour drive.
  19. You have better lake breeze positioning than me. Afternoon popup convection is shadowed by Lake Michigan almost every time IMBY. Also, this summer the upper trough always seems to dig more to the east of Michigan. Being on the trailing west side of every trough / ridge-flattening event is just not ideal. Edit: Interestingly GRR did have many days with precipitation, and even thunder, but they were mostly extremely measly amounts
  20. Yea. Specifically it has been both west and north. The northern plains has been active. They typically get that southeasterly low level flow this time of year that always helps enhance the shear even when 500 mb flow is marginal.
  21. This summer has been complete trash for organized storms. No jet energy to speak of south of the Canadian border. The local heat islands / lake breeze convergence zones around Chicago and Detroit get some good afternoon stuff in an ultra-humid airmass with these weak fronts, but that’s about it. I’m hoping for something like 2018 where late August into September gets active again.
  22. Surface smoke is slightly thinner today, judging by horizontal visibility, but the sky is still a sickly color here.
  23. GRR only had 2.62 for the month and MBY just over 2 inches (barely missed a heavy pulse storm on the 28th). Still very brown here and now a prolonged dry pattern to start August.
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