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Everything posted by frostfern
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I imagine Edmonton can get chanooks which he would absolutely hate. I bet it also it has a similar snowfall pattern to other places to the lee of the Rockies, namely big dog storms happen mostly in the spring and fall with the heart of the winter being rather boring. I’m only really familiar with Calgary though. Edmonton likely has more snow and less chanooks. The amount of CAD would be miserable to me though.
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August ridge rider pattern.
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He needs to move to the UP. Chicago is so much better in terms of summer storms, but it isn’t really a place where snowpack sticks around easily.
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As a snowpack appreciator I understand his rant. Melting is annoying unless it’s late March.
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Winter 2025-26 Short Range Discussion
frostfern replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Is it still possible Friday night lake fluff burst could over perform? GRR backed off the talk of 3-5” :(. Inversion lowers fast and DGZ is low. Last chance to beautify the pack before the big melt. -
Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion
frostfern replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
I feel we were spoiled in the 00s and 10s. -
Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion
frostfern replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Avoiding Pacific flood of boring impossible post 2020. Hopefully doesn’t last an entire month this time. -
I think it did snow around 4” total here. It just shrank back down to 2.5 or 3 from raining on top. The plow piles are significant and it was heavy to move. Not much depth added, but weight was added. I woke up late and glimpsed at the radar it looked like an MCS rolling through with a 40+ dbz bright band at ground level, lol. Those big wet slush flakes definitely added water content even at 33 degrees. It didn’t stack much but it didn’t melt much either.
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The ratio of whatever fell IMBY is like 4:1. It’s 2.5” but it weighs the same as a dry 8”. Some plain old rain mixed in too.
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2.5” total. After 1:00 AM added water content without adding any more depth. Some 40 dbz silver dollar flakage, but it was mixed with rain too.
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2.5” so far and dumping here east of GR. The bright band is getting close though. I’m assuming the 40 dbz stuff off to the SW is melting wet flakes. It’s nice I can tell it’s snowing hard from my bed because it amplifies the local light pollution so much. It’s so bright you’d think it’s very early morning, but nope.
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Waiting on a batch of 30+ dbz returns to hit here. Hoping it stays all snow. GRR radar kinda sucks. Shows artificial holes due to ground clutter.
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First bands all snow so far but the dewpoint is 32.
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GRR mentioned the warmth is progged to be shallow and near the ground. The main issue is stickage.
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I remember 2013-2014 having some rain, but there was persistent cold between systems. The thaws were mostly brief warm sectors, no major Pacific intrusions. The real polar vortex came later.
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It being at night and featuring some heavy rates is favorable. Also having preexisting snow to stick to. It looks to be incredibly wet if it doesn’t go to rain.
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It’s disheartening that long lasting pack-building patterns are getting more rare due to AGW. I don’t know if a 2013-2014 can happen again. It was already a fluke and we have warmed since then. Have to move north of 47 to hope for a deep snowpack.
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Window for a south shift big enough to bring me back into bigger accumulation is closing. Hedging on some glacier building slush, provided it doesn’t get into the upper 30s and start melting the pack like crazy. Euro still keeps me down reasonable close to freezing, just not ideal for accumulation.
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Winter 2025-26 Short Range Discussion
frostfern replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Without last minute shift SW it looks like mostly a rainer for me. -
Winter 2025-26 Short Range Discussion
frostfern replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
P-type nail biter. -
Winter 2025-26 Short Range Discussion
frostfern replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
I’m the one who could benefit most from a south shift. -
Dec 6-7th (It's not a clipper) Clipper
frostfern replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Nov-Dec 2000 was huge IMBY. System snow and lake effect. Dec 2008 was also very memorable, though the pack melted fast during the holidays with a lot of rain. 2008-2009 was a wet one with both rain and snow. -
Dec 6-7th (It's not a clipper) Clipper
frostfern replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
I missed most of this one, but it was very cold so the entire 2” or so stuck to the pavement making it very slippery. Previous systems were wetter on the pavement and mostly slush rather than ice. -
Dec 6-7th (It's not a clipper) Clipper
frostfern replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
I didn’t get out of bed in time to measure the official 9” total IMBY with that last storm. It was already down to 7” by the following afternoon. It’s around 5.5” now but high water content with a layer of freezing drizzle and dense sloppy on top. -
Dec 6-7th (It's not a clipper) Clipper
frostfern replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Summer is invading winter. What happened to lake effect?
