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frostfern

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Everything posted by frostfern

  1. frostfern
    Yea. Hate when decaying blobs of evaporating anvil precip ruin chances of anything at all. I just want one good LLJ event this summer. Been screwed for years here it seems.
  2. frostfern
    Gonna miss the main LLJ event by a long shot, but trying to be hopeful there will be a secondary batch with the upper level system coming in from the NW Thursday.
  3. frostfern
    Still need much more rain to significantly green things up here.
  4. frostfern
    It was me. I took a trip up to Northern Quebec to get internet fame by posting TikToks of me lighting bear farts and getting away alive.
  5. frostfern
    Visibility here was less than a mile. AQI 300.
  6. frostfern
    Worst smoke ever. Can’t even see shadows. Eyes burn going outside.
  7. frostfern
    The next system is probably a miss south for you and me, but the pattern is at least looking better now. It looks progressive with no return to blocking, and the next system after that might be stronger and farther north (though a long ways out, unfortunately). Baby steps at least.
  8. frostfern
    Only 0.5 here. Not a lake shadow problem so much as fast storm motion and high variability. The small cellular stuff that was popping out ahead of the main line kept missing northwest, then the main line gusted through very fast. Intense but very short storm.
  9. frostfern
    0.5” here. Very dark ominous shelf + constant rumblings and wind, but the really hard rain lasted only 10 minutes here. Better than nothing, but not a drought buster yet.
  10. frostfern
    Weirdest constant low rumbling thunder with the line that just came through. Too bad it’s not at night. Would be a spectacular amount of intracloud flashing. I just hope there is more rain to come under the upper low. It came down hard for a few minutes but it moved out so fast. I doubt much more than a half inch.
  11. frostfern
    Parameters are more significant than I thought all the way into MI. Narrow streak of near 70 dewpoints and backed wind approaching southern Lake Michigan.
  12. frostfern
    Looks like it could be close miss east for me…. just like last time. It better actually rain hard at some point or I’ll be ready for the suicide booth.
  13. frostfern
    I really fear the lake shadow screw zone this weekend. Just give me a damn warm front. What ever happened to warm fronts anyways? Its like they don’t exist anymore.
  14. frostfern
    Ready 2b miss south stanked. Not even any heat. Oh look, a drought with 2 sprinkles and temps in the 70s. Michigan might as well be the new coastal Namibia. This summer is going down in history as the most boring ever. There’s just no way it can get any more boring.
  15. frostfern
    I notice some old smoke drifting back in from the southeast! It air was actually cleaner under the ridge yesterday. Shit got ingested by the cutoff and just sat in place for days. Weird how smoke can drift in from pretty much any direction.
  16. frostfern
    At least if the front gets stalled it can come back north, or at least trigger overrunning precip or elevated convection to its north. The problem is the cold fronts this year seem to clear everything and end up in the SE CONUS where they reinforce / regenerate the East Coast / SE CONUS cutoff pattern that never seems to end.
  17. frostfern
    Some runs are kicking out the SE cutoff and extending the Mexico/Texas death ridge northeast, setting up an I-80 baroclinic zone. Op runs like 12 days ago occasionally showed this mythical mirage of a pattern change only to trend back to the SE troughing / rex block as the time approached.
  18. frostfern
    Unlike this year there were a lot of ridge-riders that year in May/June. It was very scattered / hit-and-miss but there was actual weather around. This year instead of a classic death ridge we’ve been having rex blocks extending all the way to Hudson Bay with cutoff troughs hanging out to the south. Far more boring pattern this year.
  19. frostfern
    Seems like a classic El Nino jet split has been causing the drought here. Its normally a winter pattern, but this El Nino is on the roids. It also causes anomalous heat and rainy season failure / drought in Central America, particularly west of the divide.
  20. frostfern
    I’m used to convection playing hop scotch IMBY. Really need a strongly forced nocturnal event to do anything good here as lake breeze divergence is still very hostile to afternoon development this time of year. I can’t even remember the last nocturnal warm front event here. Even last year lacked them. Its like the lack of clippers in winter.
  21. frostfern
    Rather not IMBY. Derechos often move too fast to provide meaningful precip. Then the aftermath sucks once the excitement wears off. I just want a regular thunderstorm with nice lightning and heavy rain.
  22. frostfern
    Looks like the next rain will be a MSP special. Another “bad timing” hop scotch event for me most likely.
  23. frostfern
    Bring the ridge. SW flow for once in my life. Real humid heat has a much better chance of delivering a proper downpour at this latitude. Constantly grazed by the back edge of the lollygagging upper trough that spits a couple hundredths over 12 hours is so useless.
  24. frostfern
    I’ll pull my hair out if its one of those I-80/I-90 only MCS tracks and Michigan is still in the turd zone. Either spread the wealth or don’t bother.
  25. frostfern
    Same here. There was *maybe* a very distant rumble a few days ago when there was action on the east side of the state. No official t-storm on record since 4-20 though.
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