frostfern

I’m thinking the death ridge is going to expand in July and there will be triple digit heat at some point. That will be the excitement. The drought will just get worse due to evap rates even if there are some storms to track.

Wish things worked like that.

Congrats you at least got some excitement. Skipped over this side.

As soon as you turn off your rain shield.

You may find yourself under a thick pall of smoke. You may find yourself being scolded on AmericanWX for watering your lawn ( and/or palm trees).

Yep. Don’t really have a reason to post other than to complain. Zzzzzzzz…. Might just go away until fall. This isn’t just “bad luck” problem. The pattern is legitimately whack due to Super El Nino, AGW, and other factors.

It seems like the summer warm front has gone the way of the winter clipper. Blocking just refuses to GTFO.

Pathetically insufficient totals despite prolonged cold “rainy day” feel. Sequim Washington climo. Pfffft.

Don't know if it ever will. Looking like a "cool drought". About the most uninteresting shit you can imagine.

That heat dome is bad for Iowa bug good for MBY if a ridge rider MCS pattern can happen. Always the ever present SW whiff risk here though with warm front getting hung up on I-80/I-90 regardless of what models say. Ready to start pulling my hair out.

Sad. There might be some wrap-around sprinkles here Monday night or Tuesday, but I’d rather these stupid spinning lows move on out. The longer they hang back the longer they push back the return to normal summer with MCS potential. If that even happens this year at all.

Studies I’ve read indicate that smoke or dust decreases warm process precip, but increases cold process precip. In midlatitudes it could increase snow in the winter, but the summer effect would be negligible as both processes are equally important. It would only decreases precip in places in which the majority of it falls from shallow warm clouds, i.e. tropical oceanic climates in the trade wind belts, Hawaii for instance.

What do ya know, the final hour SE shift isn’t just a winter thing.

Look at the long range. Boring. No heat, no thunder chances, no nothing.

I see a lot of miss south stank for MBY even if the pattern improves marginally. El Nino is such a b****. Never in my life has a summer been as boring as this one. Not even any heat. Just cool dry and boring. The new San Diego.

GFS is wrapping some precip farther west now. Any ensemble support? Having flashbacks of winter now. Sad times, but rain is rain.

I remember April 2012 being a bit cooler and wetter after the Morch. May was very warm, but with hit-miss rains around. Even June had chances of storms, they were just spotty and didn’t keep up with the evap rates when it started getting hot. July got very dry due to being very hot with high evaporation and only spotty rains. It wasn’t constant blocking and dry back-door fronts like this year.

The extreme heat hasn’t happened yet, but its already off to a much dryer start than 2012. April/May 2012 were normal, and June/July were hot but hit/miss storms were around many days despite not everyone seeing a lot of rain. This is looking more and more like 1988. 1988 was a front-loaded drought starting in may. There was even the persistent New England cutoff much of June until the heat suddenly expanded east in July. If there is no major pattern change by the middle of June we are in 1988 territory precip-wise.

Florida has guaranteed t-storms. This is California sunshine.

Euro is a dry back-to-back back-door cold front fest regularly re-enforced New England troughing straight into the middle of June gigantic turd. If it's going to drought might as well be hot. This "cool" dry shit is the absolute most boring pattern ever. Great Lakes = New Atacama Desert.

I heard soft rumble thunder and didn’t believe it because almost every direction out the window looked clear. There’s a tiny cell moving in from the SE. Might be the last rain I see for the next week though. Damn thing is going to miss just west though. Ugh.

90 here too. Some distant towering cumulous, but fat chance of anything ever maturing over MBY.

Really annoying the end of the heat looks to be another backdoor cold front with the ridge retrograding west. Fat chance of rain with that kind of pattern constantly repeating. Boredom-fest + drought continues into June. Probably just going to stop posting. Really sad that mild winter + boring spring/summer is the new normal for Michigan in a warming climate. Ugh.

The high plains had activity for him. No tornadoes, but there has been scattered high-based supercell action most days. Only the midwest has been totally dead.

The grass got started early due to warmth in the 1st half of April, so its going dormant fast now with no rain.