WEATHER53

In all honesty, Canadian first one to show this and I liked it. Next I hope we get hours of great obs!

I think we are non panicked now but I’m older lately and back and forth gets me dizzy.

By noon tomorrow gotta be 70% probability thst predicted outcome holds up.

6” in 3 hours?

Trying to close off 1012 contour to a 1004 didn’t seem likely

Immediate DC area being between 3-8” for 48 consecutive hours is very reassuring.

I went from first shade blue to first shade purple

Like way better so perhaps 6 hour panic over?

Soon we will get to watch the system evolving

Bit of micro managing adjustment now that wholesale change is unlikely

The Wed 12 noon run will be the clincher as to 90% probability of verification from that point forward. incidental timings look favorable with clear skies Friday night into the early morning hours with good radiation and then becoming cloudy between 6-9am which mutes daytime warming and onset between noon-3pm. In that set up I’m thinking 37/38 for a high between 12-1 but with dews in low 20’s once we get to a steady 0.5”ph rate the temp will drop to 32/33 by 4/5pm

Somebody posted it showed up as 2.3 in NW DC

Onset time 6pm Sat?

8-12 around DC

You could heat it and ad odd as this founds it was like a lie pitch whistle and it made the chsir I’m in “buss” for couple sections. Sound more like 5 seconds

What was that rumble?

High stronger and bit more west next run and back to real good again

That was big news for quite a while..I think some already said 50+ Sustained for like 20 consecutive hours, wasn’t there an insane 82 mph gust? Rare for east coaster me to remember one there, The 28.12 lowest baro around here March 1993 had lengthy 40+ sustained but not 50+

But we do have it

This is great info and you are right about getting nervous in transfers. I love how you break the difference in the nature of transfers down to NS vs low moving from south into TN and then transferring , Did I get that right? Thsnks

This is a home run set up so gotta swing for the fences.!Did you ask Dav*d T. To come back for this event snd call truce??????

I’m gonna say at 4pm Saturday presuming onset has not occurred it will be 42/22 at DCA .

The ones here are 15” long. You are lucky because these here are very flighty and I can’t approach. They just run right up the tree and into their hole

In a similar vein, I concluded and stated at Christmas that if the pattern was not changed by 1/10 then it would not change, I have to give kudos to those who said “Nino…be patient” You were correct . I also contend that a delay pattern was underway that needed to cease. I too knew it was a nino and that’s why I was 50/50 on how much trouble we were in. Again though, kudos to the who persistently offered “ nino..be patient “ I want to ask if others are having this ? It’s been so long time since having a reasonably good potential for a big event to follow well in advance that I Have LOST my conscious contact with” I have a weather event to follow” Any body else? I’ve been like dinner snd then maybe go watch Washington Texas after wife time, Nothing in the noggin about weather until …Oops…Snow Event To Follow!! Anybody else?

It’s about as perfect a track as we get. Try to keep low not lower than 1000 and cold air can hold . If it does end up 50 miles east of OC then it is following some history makers. I liked this a lot from a week ago and said do then. It was an example of where our goodies come from and made sense.aUpur creation of a new thread sprinkled in the magic snow dust it looks like!!! Hope your trip is Great and Happy Nude Year