Models show the coastal low for about the 6th time this season but it always ends up in the lakes.
One would think their “scientific programming” could take into account strong seasonal trends.
Just enjoy and watch it unfold.
The suppression was never a good analog idea even though touted mightily by models. In fact too close is the more likely problem. Norfolk will be a good barometer, if it’s past 40F come crunch time then too warm for us.
I’m liking very much those yellow bands stretching from NW of Atlanta to se of Atlanta moving deliciously northeastward.
Going to be a surprising good observation period albeit in wee hours.
19 dewpoint all that can be asked for.
They have given all the examples and outcomes so soon it becomes radar, water vapor, low track and 850’s.
suppression, as I stated 48 hours ago, continues to look less likely.
Key for me is where is precip mass Saturday around noon. Over or just north of Atlanta is good and further north/northwest not and too far south Atlanta not good either
As depicted now with 0.5” around DC and 4-6” 200 miles to sw just does not happen except very infrequently.