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Carvers Gap

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About Carvers Gap

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KTRI
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    Tri-Cities, TN

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  1. Carvers Gap
    My partly cloudy has turned into unexpected rainfall. Not a lot but will take it. @Met1985, definitely looks like another strong front. This will delay my garden by about a week. I sure didn't see that coming after weeks of temps in the low to upper 80s. What a flip!
  2. Carvers Gap
    Made it to 37 this morning so far which is again below guidance. I suspect patchy frost is in the area, but cannot confirm that yet. The GFS and RGEM are the only models which are getting close to projected night time lows. The GFS has Friday morning as 34-35 for temps. No other model has it. Good test coming up again.
  3. Carvers Gap
    32 was a record low at TRI this AM.
  4. Carvers Gap
    TRI slipped to 32F right before the sun came up. We went five degrees below the point and click forecast. The GFS and RGEM were right. Thankfully, we were there only a short time. That could have caused widespread damage to crops. Let’s hope the shorter duration helped.
  5. Carvers Gap
    Yes. Even more rare than a WSW...frost and freeze warnings have been issued have been issued by the NWS. Good call. I normally plant my warm plants on Derby weekend. Not so today. The temp is 57F with the real feel at a toasty 49F. I honestly thought about building a fire in the fireplace. I ordered some affordable season extending gear. We will see how that garden, cold weather gear holds up tonight. The 18z RGEM gets down to 33 over TRI and the 18z GFS gets down to 32. Yikes.
  6. Carvers Gap
    After all of those days in the mid 80s…spring has returned. LR ext models nailed this pattern change. On AppleWx, temps are forecast to only get above 70 during 3/10 days. 4/10 days don’t get over 64. I am back to having to wear a jacket when I run in the mornings. It was so hot last weekend that I couldn’t sit on the clay ground for more than a minute or two without feeling like being on a hot stove. Ground temps have cooled off big time since then. This temp swing has been pretty massive.
  7. Carvers Gap
    Frost is possible(even likely) over portions of NE TN on Sunday morning. Folks w/ gardens need to keep an eye on this. MRX no longer issues freeze or frost warnings(don't get me started!). I just about got caught a few weeks ago when I just glanced at the map and thought we were clear. Fortunately AppleWx had the temp correct, and I covered my plants. The 6z GFS has temps as low as 32 over TRI. That could do serious damage to crops which were put out early. I have already ordered some cheap covers for plants, and delayed planting cold sensitive plants.
  8. Carvers Gap
    It rained like crazy here overnight. Very thankful. I do think we are heading towards a pattern w/ more rain, and much cooler weather. I would not be shocked to see snow at higher elevations(above 5000') during early May if things work out correctly. AT hikers need to pay attention. Big weather changes under way as we speak. I am not saying the drought gets busted(those often take months to eradicate), but we should get some relief.
  9. Carvers Gap
    Do I dare even say it? Haha. The GFS has snow in higher elevations to begin May. 6z was nuts. 12z has it as well in SW VA. BIG changes coming to our weather. Kudos to the Euro Weeklies for absolutely nailing this potential pattern change coming up.
  10. Carvers Gap
    Dwagner....that is crazy insane. Well, you all can thank me for the copious amounts of cold weather incoming. My tomatoes and peppers arrived in the mail yesterday. They are about to be on the struggle bus in about 7 days. Thankfully, rain appears to be on tap. Now, let's go watch some NFL Draft.
  11. Carvers Gap
    I will say this....in NE TN, many of the tornadoes have been daytime recently. The one that did $30k worth of hail damage to my house was during the day. Now, when I lived in Knoxville...it was almost all nighttime. NE TN has to almost have a sustained SW to NE track of whatever system is required to produce tornado activity here. Derecho stuff sometimes will do it from the NW. But it requires a huge SW fetch to get that type of severe into NE TN. IDK...maybe that is why daytime threats are worse here. Knoxville and points west...totally different animal. I don't even know if I can name a daytime threat in Knoxville, but remember having to go to the basement many times as a kid at night during crazy bad storms. The '93 outbreak(college at UT at the time) I am pretty sure was evening or night...maybe during a Friends season final episode.
  12. Carvers Gap
    We have managed a couple of decent rain showers. It won't dent the drought, but it will provide some temporary relief. As for relief, there might be some on the way as we begin May. Temps look to fall BN right as we end April and begin May. It won't be anything overly shocking I don't think - some frost likely I think. It will feel sharper than it really is due to the much AN temps we have seen(summer like) during the past couple of weeks. Hopefully, that heat has abated until its proper time. I don't see mid 80s on my phone any longer, and that is a relief. We don't want summer heat building during April. Even with La Nina fading, any residual effects from that dying Enso phase could still produce very hot and dry weather. Hopefully, Enso neutral and Nino conditions take hold sooner than later. That should bring more precip and moderation of temps.
  13. Carvers Gap
    It is freaking hot!!! 83F in the middle of April is the worst. Looks like both the GEFS ext and Euro Weeklies are showing a cold down during the first couple of weeks of May. No, I don't mean snow. But maybe it means we aren't going to see mid summer heat show up two months earl any longer!
  14. Carvers Gap
    Ditto. My garden has been doing decently well so far, but I too have fought the urge to plant the warm wx stuff. I may risk planting 1-2 in a cold frame next week. This pattern seems pretty stable, but we have both seen warm, spring patterns flips to one frost after another. The drought monitor has drought expanding across much of Tennessee.
  15. Carvers Gap
    We badly need some rain here. Mammoth may get absolutely hammered from Saturday to Saturday. That seems to signal better things(precip wise) when they get it going. Looks like we might need a snow cam watch posted for Mammoth.
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