87storms

Fairly decent sized flakes at the moment, tbh. Take away the 25% sleet and I’d classify it as bordering on moderate…so that’s fun.

Mixed bag of mostly wet snow/sleet at 1500’ in gambrill. Got a little workout in, checked the radar, and figured I’d take a drive to scope things out.

I literally just saw that as well. We basically didn't have a winter here. Aside from a couple of temporary arctic blasts, it was essentially just an extended late Fall.

Switching the trough/ridge between the EC and WC will definitely make things more trackable, though verbatim it kinda does look Miller B'ish or at least the trough looks a bit too far east. Regardless, it's a colder pattern...which is sort of an important ingredient for snow.

Another pleasant day in the temps department with what seemed like a mild breeze, at least to start. Looks like a few more days of comfortable temps after the cutter before we get our last chance at wintry weather.

I actually think I’d rather have a standard snowstorm than a HECS at this point. Would rather save the latter for the colder months and not have to deal with snow covered ground into April. Trails are all in great shape…and basketball courts aren’t covered. I agree with Terp that the biggest issue seems to be not so much about whether a pattern change occurs, but that we’re up against the clock/climo. We’re at a time of year where it doesn’t want to be below freezing for too long. Gonna need some really good timing to get a storm beyond mid-March. TBD

I need to take some time to check the stats on this west coast winter because it's the complete opposite of what we've experienced here. They really did need the precip and there was mention of snow around Vegas again today. When I see that, it's a pretty good indication of what the pattern is like in the east, at least in the short range.

Premier biking weather today...got a loop in at the 'shed. Really couldn't have asked for better conditions (trail was fairly dry as well).

Yea, they've been in line recently. I noticed it last week...a crescent moon at the time, shortly after sunset to the west (Moon-Jupiter-Venus in that order).

Pretty early, but not super early. I have a feeling the Wizards city jerseys will be a little more frequent going forward. I'm still iffy on those...I like the idea, but they went really all in on that pink lol.

The problem is that even in a normal winter, south of the M/D line is touch and go when it comes to a SECS/MECS. This upcoming pattern looks promising for the midwest to PA/northeast, but it's not easy to snow here even in January. I'm definitely in the camp that would like to suppression show up first and bank on the jet being a little further north than advertised.

Only a few weeks left of tracking, might as well go all in. Looks like a semi-zonal flow/blocking is our best chance to break the snide. We usually need an El Nino/STJ to get the big ticket storms, but anyone who truly knows what will happen beyond day 10 should probably be upgrading from armchair QB to getting paid to play.

West coast still looks kinda busy/trough-y through next week. I'm sure the Colorado ski resorts are liking this run.

Sounds like you're a blizzard hunter. I'm all for a good snowstorm, but mounds of snow lasting through April is a debatable cost.

~0.4"+ in the rain gauges near me so far. Seems about right…been a few rounds of precip today.

Legit ULL, too. I don’t think I’ve seen it traverse PA from west to east like that before… https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector_band.php?sat=G16&sector=ne&band=08&length=12

This post made me check the radar and, I must say, I'm glad I did.

Side note: I've heard Bend, OR is a quality mtb destination.

Yea, was just thinking about that today. I've probably posted my mtb/hoops days enough (lol), so obviously I very much appreciate the later sunsets. But I'm a "seasons" kind of dude, so it would have been nice to get the standard 2-3 snowstorms this winter.

That first cam has me craving a snowstorm. I'm not a big skier, but skiing in that would make for a fun day.

The west coast has been absolutely dominating this winter. This loop gives a good example of the general jet stream flow all winter...trough to the west, ridge to the east. https://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/us_comp/us_comp_large.mp4

Relying on snow in mid-March when it's barely snowed more than a cartopper all season is risky business.

Congrats west side of Chicago.

There’s definitely been more sunshine overall than last year. I think one thing that makes this La Niña so futile isn’t just the temps, but that it’s been relatively dry. (I haven’t confirmed via stats, but it seems that way.) We had one winter a few years ago that was generally mild, but had a lot of precip which provided more chances overall. Now what would be kinda funny is if the hh gfs trends south.

Chicken vs egg. With a better Atlantic, maybe it wouldn’t nudge the system as far north. The pattern issues (for snow) are shown by how much we warmed up today after the wintry weather yesterday and how mild it’s been (and will be this week). The cold/blocking up top has just been too transient all season long, but maybe we can get this storm to at least include a changeover instead of a wall to wall rainer.