87storms

Looking at the mid level maps a few days ago it almost looked like some remnant spin from Hilary ejected through the northern Plains and through the mid-Atlantic. I didn’t see it mentioned anywhere, so I figured it wasn’t quite that simple. Still felt quite tropical yesterday and there’s clearly humidity in the air today (though I actually like this stuff and would take it over a dry pattern any day, unless I was in the desert and expected it).

Only received a light shower here today. This continues to be a prolific drought pattern for the Frederick area. Really need at least several inches of rain up here and a productive winter to make up for the Omega Block that seems to have dominated the majority of this entire summer.

…nor a winter.

Abundant sunshine and warm with a premium amount of humidity in Frederick rn. Classic summer weather. Hopefully, we can cash in on this airmass later.

Yea, getting another little heavier shower rn. This is the Frederick I knew in 2021.

Just picked up a pleasant, garden variety shower (still in progress)…enough to create puddles and water the plants.

The drought up here is legit with brown and spotty grass. Almost seems like we’re in a summer version of a strong La Nina pattern with a notable absence of storm systems coming up from the south. Just got a light shower that didn’t even fully wet the pavement. That’s just not gonna cut it.

While we do need the rain, today’s weather (as-is) definitely falls within the prime category.

Seems like we’re on the cooler side of that ridge as opposed to a SE/Bermuda High setup. What we really need is that blocking to occur in Canada in the shorter days of winter when cold can build instead of heat.

This has been a tame summer. Really no extreme heat and just a few days where it was hot, though I may have some bias after experiencing desert heat for 2 weeks. The heat dome is visible on satellite: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/conus_band.php?sat=G16&band=GEOCOLOR&length=12&dim=undefined

I don't think I would have moved to Frederick if I wasn't working remote at the time, unless I was working nearby. With that said, I generally like this area, though the drivers might actually be worse than MoCo, which is saying a lot.

Currently on day 3 with the jeep top off. When the desert SW is getting a tropical system, you can likely forget about any storms here. This pattern is locked in. Maybe we can weasel our way into tropical remnants this season.

Pretty majestic finish to the day. Decided to bike over at Schaeffer and the trails were certainly of the dry status. Meanwhile, the desert sw is getting gully washers. The west coast continues to overperform in the “interesting” weather category as they did last winter as well.

Lol, it wouldn’t surprise me at all, though just tracking a southern slider would be an improvement over last winter.

Nice temps, but it requires accepting a breeze and mountain clouds. It’s funny…places to the east/se have gotten more rain and they get less in the way of mountain debris clouds. They may have gotten more snow the last 2 winters, too lol. I’m ready for El Niño to restore atmospheric order.

Looks like it’s gonna round the base of that building heat dome/Omega Block. Meanwhile, no substantial precip on the horizon here through early next week.

Outstanding weather to finish the day. Light wind made for some ideal basketball conditions. And not too dry out either…had a little leftover humidity out there today.

Back to a nw/breezy/drought flow. Temps are nice. I can’t deny that. One thing that I’ve noticed is that following a frontal system, especially a GL to northeast traveler, there’s often times clouds building in from the nw in sync with daytime heating. It’s one of the reasons I typically prefer humidity around here lol.

My amateur take is that it's been a combo of the jet stream being too far north (just look at the track of the low pressure centers which typically end up into the GL/Northeast) and an unfavorable Atlantic (lack of a sustained Bermuda High setup...instead we get precip scraps from storms heading way north followed by a NW flow for several days). I'm mostly generalizing, but assuming the general pattern stays the same I think it'll take the jet sagging south as we get into cool season for the downsloping desert areas to perform better and/or some kind of tropical remnants.

Extremely brief, random imby pop up cell in progress. The forces against rain here are real lol.

Looks like around 0.15" fell from the earlier round here. Radar doesn't look too inspiring, but it's an airmass that's capable of a popup cell, so we'll see.

We have a Richmond/Raleigh climate now, so that wouldn’t surprise me.

Getting a little bit of clearing skies up here. I’ll take what the Nam 3k is showing for later. Unfortunately, it’s often times wrong on where the jackpot will be. Congrats to someone.

I’m all in…better chance for severe.

It’s interesting, if anything. I think the lack of Atlantic return flow and/or a sustained Bermuda High isn’t helping. For areas like ours, we’re relying on a clipper-type of a pattern. I don’t think my location requires precip bands coming from the south or off the Atlantic, but any location on the downsloping side of things probably needs a system/setup to add extra lift to overcome those other variables. Looks like a sw flow develops tomorrow, so at least we’ll have that in our favor.