87storms

Definitely a premier sunset out this way...and noticeably chilly. Gonna be some slick spots on the roads.

Pump the brakes. I was making an analysis because it was getting quiet to prompt analysis...didn't once say "it won't snow". I said my expectations are of a light event. I could lie and say my expectations are for a nor'easter (but that's a want).

You're probably not wrong lol. I'm rooting for a moderate event...and a diggier vort.

It looks like a Norlun trough setup (Philly disco mentioned it)...maybe that's the path to victory.

I'm just saying as-is, the coastal on both the gfs/euro develops and heads practically due east. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=us&pkg=mslp_pwat&runtime=2024011618&fh=69

GFS is basically an ots solution. Euro kind of is, too. CMC seems iffy with the low deepening that quickly. I think expectations of a light event is probably the move at this point.

We just need the low to ramp up quicker, but it’s a pretty good track on the ukie, too.

Just took a stroll…got a coating/stat padder from the snow shower. Back to snizzle now. Eyeballing between 4-5” here. Still powdery.

Legitimate moderate snow shower in progress. Very healthy flake size.

Definitely snow as there’s actual dendrites falling.

Looks like pixie dust has returned here. Visibility has gone down, so I don’t think it’s freezing mist. All it wants to do now in Frederick is snow.

Took my final stroll for the eve…kind of an icy snow (for lack of a better term). Moderate misty snowfall. Looked like around ~3” and counting.

Starting to get some yellows rolling through. It’s very Jan ‘00 outside…very much an Atlantic/misty type of snowfall.

Just got to baker park. Prob about 2” total here so far if I had a snowboard. Roads are mostly covered and getting slick. Starting to accumulate very well now.

Yea, I've been eyeing a 10pm stroll around the 'hood...I think that's when things will kick into gear around here.

You can see the system slowly lifting north on satellite: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector_band.php?sat=G16&sector=ne&band=GEOCOLOR&length=12&dim=1

Sidewalks and roads have caved. They had no choice. Will probably give it an hour or two and then investigate.

Still light snow up here in the valley of Frederick. Wintry, but I’m ready for those greens. Looks like it’ll be a few more hrs before the heavier returns make it up this way.

Alright, the first part has been cute, but I’m ready for the steadier/moderate. In other news, the creek next to the Three Saws trailhead is flowing to the point that it’s basically not passable on foot unless you want to hop logs, which I wasn’t feelin’. Think a trip to Baker Park is in the cards later.

Coastal transfers, though. That's probably the only glitch that bring down totals. We'll see. Temps are there...and that's the most difficult obstacle around here.

Legitimate light snow in Frederick with visible flakes out the window. Might have to sneak in a hike soon.

What's occurring outside is the equivalent of frozen mist.

Pixie dust has been occurring here...sticking everywhere, but very light. Looks like 2-4" is still a safe forecast for the area.

Lol, honestly wasn't even thinking about it. That storm really didn't bother me...it was an obvious sketchy setup. I've been doing this hobby too long and knew it had "wide right" potential. I would even say "01" didn't bother me much either. It was like almost 60 degrees the day before, so that was also becoming sketchy. I'd say "13" was the most annoying one because it was our last chance to break the snow drought that season. Once you realize that our average high temp in January is 10 degrees above freezing, it all starts to make sense. When it snows here, ya just gotta enjoy it.

The temp outside is what I would call "snow cold". This system goes to show that all we need is it to be cold enough. This isn't even much of a precip producer...we get these at least once a week on average (literally).