87storms

It got me good today. Probably didn’t help that I had my Jeep top off the last couple days. I had to break out the Olapatadine.

Pollen has been crankin' as expected after such dry conditions the past few days...damn near desert-like conditions. Pretty unusual pattern, though I must say, it's been a very comfortable 80s with the low dews. We need the rain, though. Little Bennett was drier than usual yesterday, but I had to shrug a bit at the puddles in the places that I feel never dry out. There's always 1 or 2 of those on every trail around here.

Looking at the forecast, pollen might be in stealth mode by the end of next week.

Absolute, complete and utter nothing burger here in the rain department. Just a breeze. Otherwise, a beautiful day.

This weather is the stuff of legends. Just got a loop in at the 'shed...trail was in generally great shape. Few sticks lying around that required a little dodge 'em here and there, and only 1 tree down. I love how quickly that trail system dries out compared to other trails around the area.

I might have been thinking of 17/18 (though looks like it was early Jan when we had a frozen tundra outbreak). I have pics/vids from previous winters (organized), but it's pretty disorganized since '19. What I do know is that we're due for a blizzard.

I always felt like this winter reminded me of 19/20...I think we even had a similar arctic outbreak the last week of December like we did this past winter. I think one difference that made this worse was that it was just generally dry (further limiting the chances of frozen)...or at least it seemed that way.

It was pretty interesting driving my Jeep up 270 from Olney a little while ago. Right into the wind. My balcony furniture hasn’t blown to the side yet, so not sure how to rate this event. The one a couple weeks was probably worse up here…at least so far.

Nothing, but an ocean breeze so far. I expect the winds to pick up with the front, but yesterday was mostly a nothing burger for rain and today has turned out to be gorgeous lol.

I don’t care for wind on the regular because it messes with my jumpshot, but for the sake of being a weather hobbyist I don’t mind a localized, temporary event. It’s getting a little breezy near the Catoctin hills, but still generally light…for now.

Pretty decent temp bust so far. Still a little chilly out there. Hoping the warm front moves through before the rain arrives.

I've had my screen door open and noticed the wind shift was pretty quick. Kinda cool actually.

Windy downpour moving through here. Heard my first thunder of the season. Little lightning here and there.

I think 19/20 was abysmal, too...I just didn't care as much at the time. This was definitely worse across the board for the region, though. Didn't even get a decent minor event.

Yea, I’m officially retired from tracking snow for the season. It’s a wrap. We’re at the point where a cold front drops it down to 40 lol. If it snows, cool, but it’s probably time to move on…at least east of the mountains. If we’re gonna have a dud of a snow season, at least it was during an ENSO phase where it’s somewhat expected.

Getting some vibes that the wind is finally starting to relax a bit. We do moderate wind pretty well at times, but that was an extended gradient.

I’ve got one eye out for the warm weather and one eye out for a Hail Mary, but I know one thing…2-3 consecutive days of chilly wind as part of the deal in getting periodic non-accumulating snow showers is challenging lol.

We got La Nina'd.

Now you're gonna make me do more research lol. The only thing I'd caution against is beating the base state drum too much because, as recently as last year, we had a few decent snowstorms in the region. They weren't widespread mecs/hecs, but compared to this winter, 21/22 is looking better than it felt at the time. I agree with the general idea, but I'm not sold on things changing that quickly. I think this winter was a perfect (non)storm of a dud...similar to how Feb '10 was about as close as it will get to Siberia around here.

...I guess it is supposed to be in the 40s to near 50 today, but I still think I'd take the 90s.

I'm starting to miss the SER...though I want to tread carefully because in July that can turn into mid-90s with subtropical humidity, which might still be more comfortable (or at least more conducive to outdoor activities) than 30s, dry, and windy lol.

Warm/wet, cold/dry... https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=us&pkg=mslpa&runtime=2023031506&fh=120 Next week's system either looks suppressed/fringed or we get a cutter from a low forming after the high retreats. It just seems like we need the Pacific to chill out before we can get a new, longer duration pattern that would actually work in our favor. Would also be nice to see a blocking pattern establish itself earlier next year so that enough cold can build over Canada. These transient high pressure systems haven't been working. And where are the clippers? Having those is an obvious sign that the northern stream is even capable of digging far enough south to provide us the cold and storm tracks we need.

That wind is cranking. Must be a nor’easter somewhere.

Just got the first decent gust here from the incoming wind event.

Just looked at the GFS...honestly, I'm game with that type of system even if it's just rain. Aside from not having much in the way of snow, we've been kinda lacking fun weather, at least aside from local tstorms. That type of qpf output is uncommon to the say least...the gulf and especially the Atlantic just gets unloaded on our region lol.