87storms

I caved (taking an online class, so had to keep my priorities straight). No bourbon yet, but I did pour a glass. Now it’s time to pad some precip stats.

Yea, we need that bowling ball of precip to not turn into a ping pong ball by the time it reaches the 95 corridor. I'm at about ~1-1.25" around here. Could use another band or two. I've got some Breckenridge Oktoberfest waiting for me...that and maybe even some Bootjack whiskey.

~0.75” so far

I could see this being an overperformer, if anything. It’s a weakening system, but it’s not often we have a tropical system moving straight off the Atlantic and up 95 lol. Satellite looks phenomenal: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector_band.php?sat=G16&sector=ne&band=GEOCOLOR&length=12

Been managing to stay in the southern edge of that band. Upslope is doing its thing so far. The bands off the Bay look intriguing, too.

Pretty good shower winding down now with around 0.5” so far.

Definitely a nice, borderline fiery sunset looking towards the Catoctin’s. Ready for the equinox soaker.

It prob felt warmer with that southerly breeze/sun. I’m pretty sure I played basketball in shorts and a tshirt the day before.

It's been shown to hit a wall the last few days. I think it's almost nowcast time. Strength and amount of dry air intrusion changes up until the last minute with almost every coastal storm. I wouldn't be surprised if Frederick does pretty well this upslope. Just having something to track other than a summer clipper is a win.

Helluva precip gradient on the 12z’s. The storm is basically sandwiched between the mountains and Atlantic. Looks like a blocky pattern coming up, which is actually how 09/10 started.

That’s the boss level.

The Commanders are 2-0, the Orioles might win 100 games, and it's been raining in Frederick. Times are changing.

Lol I hear ya. That next weekend system is looking intriguing, too.

The rivers and streams are probably still gonna run low until we get a few good storms, but the grass might be greener this week than it has been all summer.

Did decent with the first round, all things considered. Got about 0.15-0.25". Latest round is incoming. Pretty impressive how we can go from blue skies and relatively dry weather to damp and dreary within 24 hours. Looks like nice weather in between this system and then maybe a coastal low to pay attention to next weekend.

We’ve entered the Colorado portion of our weather pattern. Cool and dry. Approved.

The grass definitely greened up around this area as well. Next chance of precip looks like it'll be Sunday/Monday with a return of the SW flow ahead of another cold front.

I got kinda lucky here. Just to the south of me was in a split zone. Last I checked some nearby gauges showed 0.5” with upwards of 0.75” to the north, though that was only from one wave. The funny thing is even though the last several days were productive here, the larger totals still seem to be generally further south and east. I was in and around Bethesda yesterday and the grass was noticeably greener, though last night’s downpour should help around here.

Caught the southern part of that blob in Frederick. Came down in sheets for a few mins. Down to light rain now, but gotta think it produced close to 0.5” here. The Catoctins scored well with this one, based off radar.

Getting a healthy shower here that’s still in progress. Lot of lightning. Might be more of the c2c variety, though. Regardless, this was needed.

Water vapor loop is lighting up. Wind is calm. I’m liking the setup.

Seeing frequent lightning in the distance looking south and now hearing thunder.

SW flow ftw.

I never really considered Rodgers a bad dude...maybe I've missed some of the news about him. Kevin Porter Jr., on the other hand, is not a good dude. Talk about throwing a career away. He recently signed a contract, too...which will likely get voided assuming the NBA's investigation confirms the reports.

Pretty good illustration of the rain shadow effect on the eastern side of the Catoctins with precip forming as it nears the next round of hills to the east. I'm over-simplifying, but it is interesting how the change of winds can impact precip chances (for better or worse) for those right along the Blue Ridge. The Shenandoah Valley and maybe some areas further north catch a rain shadow from both the Appalachians to the west and Blue Ridge to the east. Models not taking downsloping into account is probably one of the reasons why so many busted forecasts occurred back in the day, especially with clippers.