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jm1220

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Everything posted by jm1220

  1. jm1220
    Shows the Nassau/W Suffolk screw zone, but there’s been some progress lately (the cutoff for data on that map is Tue mornings).
  2. jm1220
    Maybe 0.05” here with this round but happy to see the south shore get the higher 0.4” type amounts. Slowly getting to normal in the ripped off areas.
  3. jm1220
    Austin tied their record of most 105+ degree days in a row yesterday and will likely exceed it quite a bit since there’s no end to the hot pattern.
  4. jm1220
    Five Towns to Baldwin area might get hit again here. Wow-about time.
  5. jm1220
    Looks like a few spots over 2” from the Rockaways to Five Towns.
  6. jm1220
    Absolutely torrential here.
  7. jm1220
    Here we go. Decent gusts ahead of the line.
  8. jm1220
    Sky getting dark here in Melville.
  9. jm1220
    Yup, rain is still badly needed in Nassau and most of W Suffolk.
  10. jm1220
    The dew point at 76 will do that.
  11. jm1220
    Looks like some showers are firing on the seabreeze front again. One popped up just east of me in Dix Hills.
  12. jm1220
    Fewer days lately with downsloping west winds. Now southerly flow is much more common.
  13. jm1220
    In Long Beach now, essentially there’s just been just a couple showers here. Maybe something can happen with the rain to the south but we’ll see.
  14. jm1220
    Still a long way to go. I’m at about 1.5”.
  15. jm1220
    Ocean temps are in the upper 70s. It won’t do much anymore other than add humidity.
  16. jm1220
    Feels horrendous outside. Sea breeze doesn’t do a thing when dews are 75.
  17. jm1220
    We want the warmest water anomalies to be in the central Pacific not on the coast of Peru. That causes the strongest forcing to focus over the central Pacific and troughs to be more favored in the East. That’s called a Modoki or basinwide Nino. An east based strong Nino would likely be very warm for us like 97-98.
  18. jm1220
    Pretty much. If we get into a strong Nino we’ll be battling warm air but the Nino charged southern jet is good for surprises. Maybe if the W PAC stays warm the forcing can be near the dateline which encourages an eastern trough.
  19. jm1220
    107 in Austin TX yesterday and 108 the day before. And it’s not a “dry heat” there-heat index is over 110 when it’s that hot. I think their all time high was 111 in 2011 when they were in a La Niña drought. So they’re not far from it. When I was there it hit 104-105 a few times. Anything 100 and over is absolutely unbearable, like being in an oven.
  20. jm1220
    Some pop up cells. Maybe one of these can get me finally.
  21. jm1220
    Those storms literally fired up under a mile east/south of me.
  22. jm1220
    Another 3 second shower.
  23. jm1220
    Had a shower which lasted 3 seconds. Of course it’s coming together nicely for upstate and CT.
  24. jm1220
    So far nothing here.
  25. jm1220
    If the pattern changes to one with stronger offshore flow the waters will cool down from upwelling. I’m sure 100 feet down or less the waters are much colder and would up well to the surface with a pattern conducive to that. The pattern has supported a hot western Atlantic for some time due to the WAR on roids over the “winter” up to now.
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