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jm1220

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Everything posted by jm1220

  1. Maybe a quick 0.10-0.15 here.
  2. Shows the Nassau/W Suffolk screw zone, but there’s been some progress lately (the cutoff for data on that map is Tue mornings).
  3. Maybe 0.05” here with this round but happy to see the south shore get the higher 0.4” type amounts. Slowly getting to normal in the ripped off areas.
  4. Austin tied their record of most 105+ degree days in a row yesterday and will likely exceed it quite a bit since there’s no end to the hot pattern.
  5. Five Towns to Baldwin area might get hit again here. Wow-about time.
  6. Looks like a few spots over 2” from the Rockaways to Five Towns.
  7. Absolutely torrential here.
  8. Here we go. Decent gusts ahead of the line.
  9. Sky getting dark here in Melville.
  10. Yup, rain is still badly needed in Nassau and most of W Suffolk.
  11. The dew point at 76 will do that.
  12. Looks like some showers are firing on the seabreeze front again. One popped up just east of me in Dix Hills.
  13. Fewer days lately with downsloping west winds. Now southerly flow is much more common.
  14. In Long Beach now, essentially there’s just been just a couple showers here. Maybe something can happen with the rain to the south but we’ll see.
  15. Still a long way to go. I’m at about 1.5”.
  16. Ocean temps are in the upper 70s. It won’t do much anymore other than add humidity.
  17. Feels horrendous outside. Sea breeze doesn’t do a thing when dews are 75.
  18. We want the warmest water anomalies to be in the central Pacific not on the coast of Peru. That causes the strongest forcing to focus over the central Pacific and troughs to be more favored in the East. That’s called a Modoki or basinwide Nino. An east based strong Nino would likely be very warm for us like 97-98.
  19. Pretty much. If we get into a strong Nino we’ll be battling warm air but the Nino charged southern jet is good for surprises. Maybe if the W PAC stays warm the forcing can be near the dateline which encourages an eastern trough.
  20. 107 in Austin TX yesterday and 108 the day before. And it’s not a “dry heat” there-heat index is over 110 when it’s that hot. I think their all time high was 111 in 2011 when they were in a La Niña drought. So they’re not far from it. When I was there it hit 104-105 a few times. Anything 100 and over is absolutely unbearable, like being in an oven.
  21. Some pop up cells. Maybe one of these can get me finally.
  22. Those storms literally fired up under a mile east/south of me.
  23. Another 3 second shower.
  24. Had a shower which lasted 3 seconds. Of course it’s coming together nicely for upstate and CT.
  25. So far nothing here.
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