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jm1220

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Everything posted by jm1220

  1. I haven’t had a chance to dive into it but ratios are determined more by cloud level temps where the snowflakes are made. If temps in the snow growth zone are -12 to -18C you’ll have the best snow growth (dendrites that pile up) and ratios. If the cloud is too cold often you’ll have needle/sand flakes which will be 10-1 or maybe even less.
  2. RAP looks really good. High end advisory event for most. That fronto band across central PA and NJ keeps ticking north. Between that and the main low may be a mini shaft zone so if that keeps going north Philly and I-195 might be in subsidence, but the consensus now is the best snow there.
  3. Wouldn’t be surprised to see northern areas score again. Looks like another high ratio heavy snow band could set up on the north extent of the good snow which is definitely trending N.
  4. Good trends overnight. We don’t need much at least around the city for an advisory event. Hopefully we see it continue with a slightly stronger system.
  5. Had some snow grains stick on my deck from the snow/graupel shower earlier.
  6. It consolidates the snow into a coastal low so it dissipates as it comes east from PA. We want that whole setup further north so either the coastal low develops later and that snow survives or we get clipped by the developing low.
  7. Flurries in E Northport.
  8. Looks like an issue with dry air drain coming down the Hudson/CT River with the cold air. Sometimes we get skunked from the city east with that in minor events.
  9. RGEM very nice event, would probably be 3-5” especially I-80 south given ratios. Might have a nice snow cover in places that get hit decently with this and last storm.
  10. Snow cover doing work to reduce overnight temps. Down to 17.
  11. This'll probably be a one hit wonder season like 94-95 with the smaller events like maybe Sat thrown in. Not the absolute basement of lousy but next step up.
  12. I’ll go with 7.5” final here. It snowed pretty hard with the last band but only added a little more. 12.5-13” for the season, a third or so of the way to average. At least we have one warning event.
  13. Lots of people with egg on their face from this. Boston had a snow emergency for less than 1” total.
  14. Wow, this stuff is literally like cement. Compacting like crazy.
  15. Here we go-back to moderate/heavy. Let’s see what this last band can do.
  16. I’m at about 7”. Nice final burst coming in-hopefully I can get to 8” but will probably be a little shy of it.
  17. I’ll probably end with 7-8”. Dumping here again but should be light from here on out.
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